I told you the yen was going to reverse! Are you listening?
24.07.30【豐富│東南西北龍鳳配】Pt.1 早告訴你日圓要反轉!你有沒有在聽?
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=h35BOmLxyYA
The strategy, which involves borrowing at low rates to fund purchases in higher-yielding assets elsewhere, has been wobbling for months, especially carry trade in yen.
US$4.4 trillion (RM18.3 trillion) invested abroad, an amount larger than India’s economy.
It’s going to be one of the mega trends and it is a super cycle for the next five to 10 years.
“There will be a sustained, gradual but massive flow of capital back into Japan from abroad.”
Yields on the benchmark 30-year Japanese government bonds have risen about 40 basis points to above 2%.
Japan’s investors are the largest foreign holders of US government bonds and own almost 10% of Australia’s debt. They also control hundreds of billions of dollars worth of stocks from Singapore to the Netherlands and the US, owning anywhere between 1% and 2% of the markets.
Their reach extends to high risk investments such as cryptocurrencies and risky debt that blew up in Europe.
Sentiment toward the yen was hugely negative last year. But the currency has jumped in value since then. And that means lately, futures traders have been extremely bullish.
When traders are all betting on a higher yen, the currency tends to fall. And in these cases, we usually see a quick decline of around 10%.
Futures traders are far too bullish right now. And that makes a quick, double-digit decline likely.
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