by winston » Wed Nov 19, 2025 8:41 am
Four structural signals breaking at the same time:
1. Bitcoin fails to reclaim its 50-week MA, forms a clear lower-high/lower-low pattern on the weekly chart then eventually loses its 200-week moving average...
2. On-chain “top” indicators finally hit euphoric extremes, long-term holders dump into weakness and ETF flows turn persistently negative for months…
3. We get a multi-month trend of new outflow from ETFs and institutions
4. The overall narrative/story around Bitcoin changes (like the U.S. government turning into a regulatory foe)
If these signals materialize, the playbook shifts to capital preservation: stick with only what you’re truly willing to hold through a secular downtrend.
Source: Investor Place
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"