by Jing Pan
Bank of America expects nonfarm payroll gains to be cut in half in Q4 of 2022 and turn negative in 2023.
During the first quarter of 2023, the bank projects that the U.S. will be losing roughly 175,000 jobs a month.
“We are looking for a recession to begin in the first half of next year” .
In September, the unemployment rate fell to 3.5%, a multi-decade low.
Given this labor market strength and rampant inflation, the Fed is raising interest rates aggressively to bring price levels under control.
“We could see six months of weakness in the labor market.”
The S&P 500 benchmark index is “expensive” and “super crowded. The worst thing to hold is the S&P 500 wholesale.
Sees opportunities in small-cap stocks, energy, and healthcare. She also likes “select industrials” — particularly automation plays.
Source: Money Wise
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bofa-war ... 00414.html