Investment Strategies 01 (Nov 08 - May 10)

[winston]

TOL:-

It's time to take stock of what's happening and then to invest or trade accordingly:-

Equities:

We are still close to the range high. However, there's now some fear and panic and it may head lower.

1) If a stock has collapse ( > 20% ) for no apparent reason, it could be time to nibble. Having a small position also enables one to focus on the company. Thereafter, one can back up the truck when it's the right time.

2) I prefer individual stocks than ETFs at this point in time.

3) With fear and panic, there could be some opportunity to short the market.

4) Should I continue to sit on my S&P Inverse ETF ?


Commodities - Watching Oil. Staying aware from Base Metals for the time being.


Currencies - Need to understand how a high USD, low EUR, high CNY, would affect my portfolio


Cash - My Allocation is now around 20% Equities, 1% Short and 5% Gold. It's time to increase the Equities component further to around 25% over the next few weeks for some "long term" plays. Cash is to be deployed in times like this. However, this rout can continue for a long time and you dont want to finish your bullets too soon.

Noise - There's a need to apply some independent thinking and to filter out the Noise and Fear on CNBC. If you think that you should act, then do it. It's not the end of the world but you can still be crushed if you are standing in the middle of the road when the stampede is on.

[winston]

TOL:-

WB: Be greedy when others are fearful

Jim Rogers: Wait till the money is in the corner ...

Rothschild: Buy whenever there's blood in the street

So is everyone fearful already ? And is the the money in the corner already, waiting to be picked up ? Is there blood on the street yet ?

[iam802]

TOL:-

WB: Be greedy when others are fearful

Jim Rogers: Wait till the money is in the corner ...

Rothschild: Buy whenever there's blood in the street

So is everyone fearful already ? And is the the money in the corner already, waiting to be picked up ? Is there blood on the street yet ?

Do we count those in Greece riots as 'blood on the street' ?

So, can buy Greece counters already.

[lithium]

TOL:-

WB: Be greedy when others are fearful

Jim Rogers: Wait till the money is in the corner ...

Rothschild: Buy whenever there's blood in the street

So is everyone fearful already ? And is the the money in the corner already, waiting to be picked up ? Is there blood on the street yet ?

Yes? Yes? Yes?

[Poles]

TOL:-

WB: Be greedy when others are fearful

Jim Rogers: Wait till the money is in the corner ...

Rothschild: Buy whenever there's blood in the street

So is everyone fearful already ? And is the the money in the corner already, waiting to be picked up ? Is there blood on the street yet ?

where got fear now???
when Winston stops posting, i would guess FEAR is here.....

[winston]

where got fear now???
when Winston stops posting, i would guess FEAR is here.....

Ha Ha ... when I stopped posting, it's because I'm out at the Broadwalk looking at the nice boats.

[lithium]

I think Winston is always in FEAR.

[millionairemind]

I have yet to see a 100pt drop in the STI for 2-3 days in a row... no fear yet..

Even ytd's drop was gradual... in response to US futures...