by Aspellian » Tue Feb 09, 2010 9:08 am
Musicwhiz wrote:millionairemind wrote:Just curious MW. I don't follow Boustead that closely.
By any chance, could you have foreseen this dip in profits?
Their revenues are contract based, so looking at quarterly profits is not very indicative. Instead, it will be better to focus on full year profits.
For this 3Q 2010, I was looking more at the Balance Sheet (cash has increased, debtors reduced) and Cash Flow Statement (+ve op cash inflows of S$19M), and I feel satisfied.
on one hand, some investors could be comforting himself that +ve emerges (despite a fall in profits). on the other hand, it is true that contract business is cyclical q-o-q and full year results, health of balance sheets, margins, order books and strategic directions more important.
i really applaud MW for knowing very early of analysis paralysis... i still trying to differentiate... for stocks i like, i tend to be very biased and it has burnt in the past - whereby i simply ignore the
RED FLAGS 
!
Now i hope to analyse by listing more negative points or potential risks than +ve points. if after doing this, and i still am satisfied with the remaining +ve points, then FA process is more robust (i hope)... maybe there will be trading paralysis from over-aversion to analysis paralysis as a result of thought paralysis/.... time for system overhual and renewal of new wineskin so as to store new wine!!! hahaha!!!
(PS: dun mean to offend anyone, ok? still will like to meet up in future for cuppa coffee / fish and chips!!)

PROMISE, PASSION, PEACE, POWER, PURPOSE, PLAN, PATIENCE, PERSEVERANCE, PROTECTION
DELIGHT, DISCIPLINE, DILIGENT, DETERMINATION, DESIRE
"Its not whether you're right or wrong thats important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong." - Warren Buffet