 by millionairemind » Mon Apr 27, 2009 4:44 pm
by millionairemind » Mon Apr 27, 2009 4:44 pm 
			
			Ouch!
April 27, 2009
Asian hedge funds down 40%
ASIAN institutions and wealthy individuals investments in hedge funds is expected to have declined by 40 per cent over the 18 months to mid-2009, said an official of Bank of New York Mellon Corp, the world's biggest custodian bank.
Asian investments in hedge funds will decline to US$206 billion (S$308 billion) by mid-this year from US$344 billion in December 2007, Andrew Gordon, the bank's Hong Kong-based executive vice president of financial markets and treasury services, said in an interview with Bloomberg news.
Government entities such as sovereign wealth funds will help drive a recovery in the dollar value of Asian hedge fund investments to US$382 billion by 2013, he said.
'What you do have in Asia is a number of sovereign wealth funds and government entities that are relatively new,' Mr Gordon said. 'They're going through their early asset allocation decisions and some of those are the ones who have said they will be making allocations to hedge funds.'
Asian investors are among the most fickle after the worst year for hedge funds in 2008, according to a joint study by the bank and Connecticut-based consulting firm Casey Quirk & Associates LLC. Asia will represent 25 per cent of total industry outflow in the two years to December 2009, while Asian investors' share of global hedge fund assets may shrink by 5 percentage points over six years to 15 per cent in 2013.
The study forecast global hedge fund assets to halve to US$1 trillion by mid-this year from the 2008-peak before inflows and investment profits boost the industry's size to US$2.6 trillion by 2013.
'Fundraising anywhere is challenging at the moment, including Asia,' said Will Tan, a recruiter at Singapore-based Principle Partners Pte. 'It should not be the imperative for establishment of an Asian office for international hedge funds.'
International fund managers such as Citadel Investment Group LLC, Blackstone Group LP and Oaktree Capital Management LLC have set up offices in the region over the years, lured by its expanding capital markets and the potential to raise capital from local institutions and high-net-worth individuals.
Japanese institutions may have withdrawn more than 20 per cent of their investments in hedge funds, in many cases as a result of stop-loss policies that require them to sell holdings when investments fall below a certain threshold, according to the study.
Asian wealthy individuals are expected to reduce their hedge fund holdings by more than 30 per cent in the year through June 2009, the study found. The pace of recovery of demand from high-net-worth individuals may vary significantly, because they are very return-driven.
			"If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he has been wrong" - Bernard Baruch
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