by millionairemind » Mon Nov 10, 2008 6:34 pm
November 10, 2008
Record factory costs fall fuels new rate cut hope
Times Online
British factory costs fells at a record 5.6 per cent during October on plunging oil prices, raising hopes that consumer price inflation is set to tumble to below the Bank of England's target by next year.
October's fall in input prices is the sharpest month-on-month fall since 1986.
At the same time, factory gate prices fell by 1 per cent, pointing to pressure on manufacturers' pricing power as the economic slowdown takes its toll on activity in the sector.
Consumer price inflation hit a 16-year high of 5.2 per cent last month but today's data adds weight to hopes that the figure will fall below the Bank's 2 per cent target by next year.
Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist at IHS Global Insight, said: "The substantial falls in producer input and output prices in October reinforces belief that consumer price inflation is set to plunge over the coming months in reaction to sharply lower oil and commodity prices, contracting economic activity and very favourable base effects."
Last week, the Bank of England cut the interest rate by 1.5 per cent to 3 per cent.
However, following today's factory gate prices, Mr Archer said: "Consequently, we expect the Bank of England to cut interest rates by a further 50 basis points from 3 per cent to 2.5 per cent in December and to bring them down to 1.50 per cent by mid-2009 as it attempts to limit the length and depth of the recession."
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