by winston » Fri Apr 10, 2026 10:59 am
Ukraine Is Hitting Russia Where It Hurts — But NATO Won't Be Dragged In
What's Happening
Ukraine has launched a long-range drone campaign against Russian oil terminals in the Baltic, wiping out an estimated $1 billion in export revenue in a single week.
Russia has accused Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, of facilitating the strikes — a claim the Baltic states reject as disinformation designed to pressure them into backing off their support for Ukraine.
What Comes Next
Expect Russia to respond with hybrid measures — cyberattacks, electronic warfare and covert sabotage — rather than direct military action, which would risk triggering NATO's Article 5.
The bigger danger is accidental escalation: Russian GPS spoofing is already diverting Ukrainian drones into NATO airspace, creating a volatile scenario that could spiral even without intent.
Source: RANE Worldview
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"