by winston » Wed Mar 05, 2025 9:55 pm
not vested
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) was the biggest winner in the months after Trump’s election, but the stock has plunged since then as fundamentals are not that great here.
Bulls think Tesla’s full-self-driving and planned robotaxi launch could drive it up, eventually becoming a robotics play due to Optimus robots.
However, I think the market is too optimistic about both of these catalysts.
Optimus robots are remotely controlled at showcase events, and they are likely over a decade away from being truly autonomous.
As for FSD, it’s debatable how much value that would add to Tesla once it is launched. Q4 2024 automotive revenue fell 8% year-over-year, with European sales down 38-63% in January 2025.
On top of that, Musk’s involvement in politics is shaving off a good portion of Tesla’s customer base, and his attention seems to be on DOGE instead.
Protectionism already gives Tesla free rein in the U.S., and the profit hit on Tesla does not seem to be worth any market share gains once EV subsidies are pulled back.
I wouldn’t buy the dip here as it still trades at 100x forward earnings with worsening top and bottom-line metrics.
Source: Money Morning
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"