Is the US stock market expensive? It depends on where you look
https://twitter.com/Mayhem4Markets/stat ... 1768647878
Technology stocks are set to suffer following the US slump of the "Magnificent 7," which lost nearly US$1 trillion (HK$7.8 trillion) in market value last week.
Profits for the seven are forecast to rise 38 percent in the first quarter year on year, dwarfing the overall S&P 500's 2.4 percent anticipated earnings growth,
When excluding Nvidia, the expected net income growth for the group falls to 23 percent, and the AI plans to get squishier.
Beyond the megacaps, over 300 S&P 500 firms are expected to report over the coming two weeks. Earnings are expected to rise 9 percent for the full year, according to LSEG data.
Profit growth momentum of the so-called Big Six technology stocks could "collapse" over the next few quarters, UBS Global Research strategists said on Monday, downgrading its rating on the mega-cap companies.
Growth in earnings per share (EPS) of the "Big 6 TECH+" stocks - Apple, Amazon.com, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, and Nvidia - was projected to decline to 15.5% by the first quarter of 2025, from 42.2% estimated for the same period this year.
Rising bond yields, hotter-than-expected recent U.S. economic data and uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut outlook, have also weighed on these high-valuation stocks.
The Big Six firms are currently trading in the range of 21.6-39 times their forward 12-month price-to-earnings (PE) ratio, whereas the benchmark S&P 500 index trades about 25 times.
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