by winston » Wed Jan 04, 2023 4:26 pm
vested
SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LTD (1177 HK)
Recommendation : BUY
Fair Value : HKD 6.50
CONSTRUCTIVE GUIDANCE .
Exclusive promotion agreement for Ensitrelvir was entered on 29th December 2022 with Ping An-Shionogi, for which SBP’s subsidiary Chia-Tai Tianqing would be granted promotion rights for an initial five years in Mainland China.
Guides for 12-15% sales growth in 2023, with key innovative drugs expected to commercialise in 2024.
By 2030, SBP believes one third of sales could come from business development.
Headquartered in Hong Kong and Beijing, Sino Biopharmaceutical (中国生物制药有限公司, SBP) is a leading drug manufacturer in China with a competitive drug portfolio, strong sales force, and promising pipeline.
FY21 revenue contributors by major disease areas: oncology 34%, hepatitis ~15.9%, orthopedic 8.8%, respiratory system 6.2%, anti-infectious medicines 5.6% and others 31.3%.
SBP is the industry leader for liver diseases drugs, a segment with annual sales revenue exceeding CNY 1b and accounts for about a quarter of the overall sales of the liver disease market in China.
While the ongoing healthcare reforms, focusing on price and quality controls, may weigh on margins and may continue to trigger occasional volatility in sector share prices, Covid-19’s impact should also lend greater policy support for domestic drug innovation, which benefits pharmas (such as SBP) with strong R&D focus and growing pipelines.
SBP has a 15.03% equity stake in vaccine maker Sinovac Life Sciences, a subsidiary of Sinovac.
Management targets for over HKD100b revenue by 2030 and expects close to two thirds would be derived from innovative products.
Source: OCBC
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"