Got Milk? Cow-Juice Prices Are Soaring Amid Higher Feed Costs, Smaller Herds
https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/a ... ven-higher
It expects commodities to remain elevated compared to historical levels amid a still-supportive macroeconomic backdrop and low stocks.
We see ferrous metals (iron ore and steel), natural gas NBP, thermal coal and oil crops (palm oil and soybean) averaging sharply lower, while we expect Asia LNG (liquefied natural gas), the US Henry Hub, tin, lithium, milk and cocoa to average higher.
“Brent will mostly average flat next year” .
Risks
“We highlight a number of risks looming over commodities in 2022, including downside risks to global economic growth, continued supply risks from Covid-19 related disruptions, uncertainty surrounding Covid-19 variants’ severity and a number of geopolitical risks, most notable the US-China relationship and the Russia-Ukraine tensions,” it said.
“Some commodities, like petroleum, iron ore, copper and soybean, have a high reliance of 70 or even 80 per cent on imports.
Months of power crises across China because of a shortage of coal.
Chinese economy faced pressure on three fronts:-
1. Contraction of demand
2. Supply shocks and
3. Weaker expectations
An acceleration in adopting advanced exploitation technologies for oil and gas, creation of a waste recycling system, and making agricultural production capacity a greater priority.
The natural resources ministry said in August that domestic iron ore would be at the centre of a strategic minerals exploration drive.
A decade of higher commodity prices and generally poor equity returns would be right in line with the picture we’ve just painted.
The switch toward a greener world is creating fresh demand for metals such as copper, lithium and nickel.
While infrastructure spending will require large amounts of materials like steel and cement, the green revolution will also need more metals including cobalt and nickel for products like batteries.
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