Risks Out There 06 (May 20 - Apr 23)

[behappyalways]

Turkey’s economic meltdown threatens stability of Europe
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.thesta ... urope.html

[winston]

5 Global Risks in 2022

by Ben Geier, CEP

1. Shortages will turn into gluts
2. Rate hikes will be slower than expected
3. China will go from cracking down to propping up
4. COVID waves may look different
5. Geopolitical surprises

Source: Smart Asset

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pare-bac ... 47239.html

[winston]

How To Survive The Mega Collapse Of 2022

by MN Gordon

The S&P 500’s current valuation: Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings (CAPE) ratio is 40.09.

That’s over 137 percent higher than the CAPE ratio’s long-term historical average…and well above the 32.56 CAPE ratio reached in September 1929.

In December 1999, in the run-up to the new millennium, when it hit 44.19.

Buffett indicator, which is a ratio of the total market capitalization over gross domestic product, currently stands at about 209.5 percent.

A fairly valued market is a ratio somewhere between 98 and 119 percent.

Anything above 141 percent is considered significantly overvalued.

When the gold/silver ratio is above 80, silver is comparatively inexpensive relative to gold.

According to GoldSilver, the last three times the gold/silver ratio topped 80, silver increased 40 percent, 300 percent, and 400 percent.

As of market close December 30, the gold/silver ratio is 78.78.

Source: EconomicPrism.com

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/how-s ... mpaign=383

[winston]

With no Plan B, the global economy must brace itself for another ‘black swan’ event

A new Covid-19 variant, rampant inflation, a financial crash and climate disasters, are just some of the potential crises that could sink tentative global recovery. Overstretched governments and central banks cannot afford to be complacent

by David Brown

Source: SCMP

https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/ar ... swan-event

[behappyalways]

2022全球經濟最大風險:40年未出現的通膨 TVBS文茜的世界財經周報 20220102 X 富蘭克林‧國民的基金
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=G2whi9wUX30


俄烏衝突 將提高天然氣價格 惡化2022通膨 TVBS文茜的世界財經周報 20220102 X 富蘭克林‧國民的基金
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=q_Fb4BZ8ppw

[winston]

Will the Stock Market Crash in 2022? 10 Risk Factors

by Wayne Duggan

-- Seasonal weakness.

-- Geopolitical event.

-- Oil shock.

-- Pandemic-caused economic lockdown.

-- Disappointing earnings.

-- Policy change.

-- Chinese economic slowdown.

-- Elevated inflation.

-- Big Tech regulation.

-- Crypto crash.

Source: US News

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-ma ... 01444.html

[winston]

Black Swan Manager Spitznagel Says Market Dangers Unappreciated

by Erik Schatzker

Asset prices have been grossly inflated by years of rock-bottom interest rates and quantitative easing.

Grantham calls the market a “super bubble” and said a collapse has been underway since November. He advises getting out of U.S. stocks, owning commodities and gold, and holding some cash.

Source: Bloomberg

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/black-sw ... 55712.html

[behappyalways]

Former White House Physician Says Biden Is Not Cognitively Fit To Deal With Russia Crisis
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/for ... sia-crisis

[behappyalways]

World faces 'perfect long storm' of Ukraine crisis, Omicron and stagflation: Tharman
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/g ... on-tharman

[winston]

3 Headwinds Could Pummel Stocks. What to Know.

By Jacob Sonenshine

Inflation is accelerating, profit growth is slowing, and bond yields are rising. That’s historically a recipe for disappointing stock market returns.

Source: Barron's

https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock- ... f2&tesla=y