by winston » Tue Oct 05, 2021 9:11 am
vested
Wilmar International – BUY
Benefitting from increase in soymeal price.
The impact from China’s temporary electricity curbs should not be great and thus we believe that the impact on Wilmar soybean-crushing plants will be very marginal.
However the electricity curbs has led to operational shutdowns resulting in an increase in soymeal prices, which will boost soybean crushing margins.
On our estimates, Wilmar will benefit from better margins and possibly higher sales volume, as supplies from some peers are being affected by the temporary shutdown.
Unlocking shareholder value.
Adani Wilmar Limited (AWL) has submitted the draft prospectus for the listing on the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE). The listing application is now back to “under process” on 24 Sep 21 before some hiccups where this application was kept “in abeyance” by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI).
AWL’s IPO will unlock shareholder value for Wilmar, with the IPO proceeds mainly used
to fund AWL’s expansion of its product range. In our view, this will eventually mirror the business model in China.
Share Price Catalysts
Events:
a) 3Q21 results by end Oct-21 where we expect better qoq performance due to
the recovery of China’s soybean crushing operations and also better consumer-pack
sales, and
b) higher profit contribution from sugar business will start in 3Q21. However
we highlight that net profit could be slightly lower yoy as 3Q20 was an exceptionally
strong quarter from China, driven by higher soybean crushing and tropical oil margins.
Timeline: 2-4 months.
Source: UOBKH
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