Evergrande's woe's.by Andrew Wong
As I mentioned last week, bond defaults by Chinese corporates hit a record 62.59 billion yuan (HK$75.04 billion) in the first half of the 2021 with state-owned enterprises accounting for more than
half of the defaults at 36.65 billion yuan.
This probably indicates that the central government is no longer willing to pick up the slack and guarantee the debts of state-owned enterprises.
But in Evergrande's case, the government will not step in to rescue the indebted developer unless its debts pose a systemic risk to mainland banks.
However, banks in China have very strict loan programs in place and Evergrande must have enough collateral - including assets such as land and property - to be able to borrow large sums from them.
So if Evergrande is really strapped for funds and unable to repay its loans, the banks would just take over these assets, and it would not balloon into a huge crisis nor cause any systemic risk.
Therefore, the central government will not be inclined to take any measures to resolve Evergrande's debt woes, but investors who hold bonds issued by the developer will be one who get their fingers burnt.
They are already bracing for heavy losses and will be reassessing the risk factor of investing in Chinese corporate bonds.
This will not only make it
harder for Evergrande to reissue bonds and resolve its debt problems, but also affect the chances of several Chinese companies looking to raise funds.
Source: The Standard
https://www.thestandard.com.hk/section- ... ure-on-HSI
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"