Technical Analysis of Stock Market | Tension Builds
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=l55M1WdWIPQ&t=38s
The foundation of market success is comprised of five pillars.
1. Timing
2. Money Management
3. Stock Selection
4. Conviction and Aggressiveness
5. Persistence
Challenge #1 - I have just bought this stock and its price has already declined!
I now buy in lots of twos or threes, with a view to averaging down if the stock price drops 10 to 15% from my initial purchase price.
Challenge # 2: This stock is like a roller coaster, there’s too much volatility!
Investors would do well to remind themselves that volatility that is not correlated to underlying business performance simply represents market noise.
Challenge # 3 FOMO (Fear of Missing Out!)
The urge to buy an investment because its price has gone up, probably means that you don’t know why the price has gone up. If you don’t know why the price has gone up, you’re more likely to bail when the price goes down.
By owning a small "tracking position", you can follow the story and increase your exposure if it unfolds the way you expect.
Challenge # 4 Dealing with businesses that don’t work out
Keeping strict position limits, which prevent you averaging down too much on a loser, or a value trap can help avoid a problematic result.
Challenge # 5 Stress of Managing Winners
I averaged up because the investment case was working out better than my own expectations.
Traders tend to be analytical thinkers who want to use pattern recognition, hard numbers, and cold facts. It works most of the time, but there are times when what moves the market are emotions or other factors that we fail to understand.
Instead of embracing the action and going with the flow, we stop thinking strategically and rely more on hopeful predictions.
It is important to understand the distinction between predicting what will happen next and being ready for what happens next.
The biggest mistake that many traders make is that they maintain very large positions in favorite names during corrective periods because they are certain they will come back.
When you feel out of sync with the market, the best thing you can do is go to very heavy cash levels.
Find what is working, understand why it is working, and then trade it. When you do that, then you will be in sync with the market.
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