by winston » Fri Apr 09, 2021 10:06 am
not vested
MANULIFE US REIT (MUST SP)
Recommendation : BUY
Fair Value : USD 0.82
BENEFICIARY OF RECOVERY OF US ECONOMY.
US office downturn is likely to stabilise in 2021
Healthy portfolio occupancy
Limited new supply in MUST’s cities
Despite a soft office market in the US, MUST’s portfolio occupancy remained healthy at 93.4% which is above the US Class A average of 84% in 4Q20.
Trophy and Class A buildings remained more resilient than Class B properties, benefiting from the flight to quality by tenants.
We continue to like MUST’s resilient portfolio, quality tenants, stable income streams from built-in escalations and minimal lease expiry profile (5.8% of leases by GRI) in 2021 which could limit downside risk and help MUST ride over the market turmoil.
With the fast rollout of vaccines in the US, MUST is poised to benefit from the gradual reopening and recovery of economy.
We raise our risk-free rate to 1.9% to factor in our bank’s latest 12-month projection for the 10-year US Treasury yield.
After adjustments, our fair value estimate decreases slightly from USD0.83 to USD0.82.
Source: OCBC
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"