by winston » Tue Aug 04, 2020 11:05 am
vested
Sino Biopharm – BUY
With the continued recovery of patient visits to hospitals, we expect Sino Biopharm to
experience significant revenue and earnings growth from 2Q20.
Its blockbuster, Anlotinib, registered sales of Rmb2.1b in 1H20. We believe its sales target of Rmb4.2b in 2020 is easily achievable. The product has already obtained approval for three indications, and is expecting approvals for the fourth indication for the treatment of medullary thyroid carcinoma in 2H20 and the fifth indication for first-line NSCLC treatment in 2020.
Management believes Anlotinib’s potential sales revenue (including combination therapies) may reach over Rmb10b/year.
In addition, other potential blockbusters, ie, PD1, biosimilars (Rituximab and Adalimumab etc), Budesonide Suspension, and Salemeterol fluticasone will also support robust revenue growth in the next two years.
Seeing innovation efforts bearing fruits not only in small molecules but also in biologics, the company aims to become a key player in the biosimilar segment in China.
With the highest number of drug candidates (10 drugs) included in the third round of GPO
programme, Management believes that winning GPO tenders will help the related products to quickly ramp up sales and market share.
Share Price Catalyst
Event:
a) Solid 2Q20 results;
b) innovation to support future growth;
c) generics’ sales and market share expansion through GPO tenders
Timeline: 2H20.
Source: UOBKH
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