by winston » Fri Oct 28, 2016 7:15 am
Weaker Yuan ?
DBS Hong Kong expects the yuan to depreciate about 4 percent in 2016 and hover between 6.77 and 6.8 to the US dollar by year-end.
Compared to 6.015 reached in early 2014, the value of the mainland currency has fallen 11.5 percent against the greenback in nearly three years.
DBS said a weaker yuan may not necessarily lead to capital outflows.
As yuan has become the fifth biggest payment currency in the world, more transactions in the unit would slow down depreciation.
But, some big clients have started selling yuan mutual funds and bonds, switching to the US dollar and Hong Kong dollar. Before Golden Week, there was abundant inflow into Hong Kong.
Source: Dr Check, The Standard
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"