not vested
Tencent takes hit on Trumpby Daisy Wu
Shares of Tencent Holdings (0700) fell 3.7 percent to HK$192.6 yesterday, hitting a three month low, after HK$984.5 million worth of stock of the tech giant were short sold.
The worst performing blue chip yesterday, Tencent contributed to a 83 point drop in the benchmark Hang Seng Index, which closed 308.87 points lower. The shares accounted for 12 percent of market turnover.
Analysts said the drop was driven by global capital reallocation to financial, infrastructure, material and biotechnology sectors following Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election, rather than a fundamental change in the company.
"Donald Trump is expected to loosen the financial regulation. Institutional investors are offloading their holdings in the technology sector and shifting the money to financial sectors," said Castor Pang Wai-sun, head of research at Core Pacific-Yamaichi International.
Ample Capital director Alex Wong Kwok-ying opined: "I think capital has been keeping flow into the tech sector for seven years, which has been overvalued while the biotechnology sector has been undervalued. But now the biotech sector seems less risky."
Pharmaceutical and biotechnology shares soared after Trump's victory as investor fears of possible tough action by his rival Hillary Clinton on drug pricing was removed.
Shares of commodities after Trump proposed a "US$1 trillion over a 10-year period" infrastructure stimulus plan in his victory speech.Both Pang and Wong believe there is no tech bubble burst similar to the one in 2000.
"Back in 2000, many tech firms even did not have turnover. But the profit and cash flow of Tencent are sustainable," said Pang.
The two analysts, however, think short selling of Tencent would last for a certain period. "It's certain that institutional investors have not gotten their position adjustment done," said Pang.
"The bearish scenario is that
the drop would last until Trump enters the White House two months later," said Wong.
Pang suggests investors who like bargain hunting have now adopted a
wait-and-see position to see if the share price will drop
below HK$179. Wong warns Tencent's share price can fall a further 5-10 percent.
Tencent is due to report three-month results tomorrow.
The market expected its third- quarter adjusted net profit to jump 54 percent year-on-year to 11.7 billion yuan.
Source: The Standard
http://www.thestandard.com.hk/section-n ... ?id=176329
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"