Despite Threats, Africa Is Looking to Nuclear With Russia and China’s Help
By Scott Firsing
Source: Monash University
http://www.theepochtimes.com/n3/1885380 ... campaign=9
Uranium was easily one of the best-performing metals of 2015, averaging a spot price of $39 a pound – an increase of 18% over 2014's $33.
Reuters has reported that CGN Mining Co. Ltd., a subsidiary of China General Nuclear Power Corp., will be assuming a minority stake in uranium deposits in Kazakhstan. Keep in mind that the Kazakh uranium industry overtook Canada's to be the world's largest back in 2009.
According to Reuters, Zhang Huazhu, chairman of the China Nuclear Energy Association, said, "We've approved two new projects this year [2015] and there will probably be another two or three approved later this year, so I believe that normality in the sector has already been restored."
China has committed to constructing an average of seven nuclear power plants annually through 2020. Its neighbor, India, has plans to produce a full quarter of its electricity from nuclear power by 2050, a massive increase over the 4% level it had in 2013.
Yesterday’s court ruling is a setback for Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, who targets using nuclear power for at least 20% of Japan’s electricity generation by 2030.
Today, there are more reactors operating and in the pipeline (meaning under construction, planned, or proposed) than there were before Fukushima.
China leads the pack: if all of China’s planned, proposed, and under construction reactors are built, that country alone would boost the global reactor count by 51%.
But China actually only represents 36% of the global pipeline. Other biggies on the nuclear build list include India, South Korea, Russia, the UAE, and the US.
Uranium demand is going to gap way above supply – but the gap is not going to appear until 2020. So why am I so bullish today?
Because of who uses uranium and how they secure it.
Operators cover their uranium needs at least three years out – and often as much as a decade out.
We could expect the prices to rise soon, based on
1) contract timing,
2) lack of new supply, and
3) rising demand.
There are more than 60 nuclear reactors under construction right now in China, Russia, and India. (China alone has 26 plants under construction.)
Industry leader Cameco (CCJ) believes annual uranium consumption will increase from about 160 million pounds today to 220 million pounds by 2025.
The price of uranium has plunged from more than $70 a pound to less than $30 today.
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