by winston » Fri May 08, 2015 4:01 am
Bargains around corner as slump continues
The Shanghai Composite Index plunged 2.8 percent to 4,112 points yesterday while the Hang Seng Index fell 1.2 percent to 27,289.
The rally of the local index started at 23,677 on March 12 and reached a peak at 28,588 on April 27. The index gained a whopping 4,911 points in just six weeks.
Hongkongers started to talk about stock codes on the MTR, buses, in offices and via mobile phone messages.
Some friends called me to ask for stock recommendations and guidance.
It was also reported that somebody wanted to quit their job to become a full-time stock punter because it was so easy to make money over the past two months.
Whenever we hear people want to quit work to invest in stocks full-time, it is a warning signal.
The market needs to take a break even though this bull market is policy-driven by the mainland authorities, and will surely not end yet.
If the Hang Seng Index keeps correcting, it may fall to 26,712 before the correction ends.
Actually, it is very close to the 30-day moving average currently at 26,818. Dr Check is quite confident, however, that a chance for bargain-hunting will arrive soon.
For Hang Seng Index shares, the average PE ratio is only 11.3 times. This is not expensive at all.
Source: Dr Check, The Standard HK
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"