"It Scares Me To Death": More Ohio Families Turn To Food Banks Amid Cost-of-Living Crisis
https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-fina ... ing-crisis
With the first-quarter earnings season drawing to a close, the profits of S&P 500 companies are estimated to have dropped 3.7% on average, compared to a year ago.
78% of firms surpassed forecasts, that’s less impressive than it sounds, given analysts had slashed their expectations before the season kicked off.
More crucially, it was the second straight quarter of earnings declines for corporate America.
Bearish earnings forecasts now centre around the April to June period, for which a 7.3% profit.
The four biggest US banks saw bad consumer loan write-offs rise 73% from year-ago levels.
Small banks account for 25% of the lending to the Commercial real estate sector.
Tech earnings are expected to decline more than 7% in the second quarter.
While first-quarter Chinese growth roared to a one-year high, credit and consumer demand appear to be sputtering.
S&P 500 constituents’ actual first-quarter buybacks were 21% below year-ago levels.
The country may face a mild recession in the second half of this year and in the first quarter of the next year.
Policymakers at the Federal Reserve have also projected that the US will experience a "mild recession" later this year that could take two years to overcome.
At no time since 1970 has the ISM Manufacturing NOI been as low as it is today, without the US economy being either in recession or about to enter a recession.
The yield curve remains inverted to an extreme. The extreme inversion tells us that monetary conditions have become tight enough to virtually guarantee an official recession.
In conclusion, a US economic recession may have begun, but it’s now more likely that it won’t begin until the third quarter of this year.
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