Experts divided as gold rally stallsThe price of gold slipped after a record-breaking rally as the US dollar regained some ground, while analysts' diverged on whether the price is close to a peak.
Twelve-month gold futures climbed as much as 2 percent to US$2,000 per ounce before turning back. The spot metal touched US$1,981.27 yesterday, about US$60 above the previous peak in 2011.
JPMorgan says the rally that has already seen prices rise 27 percent in 2020 could start to lose steam later this year. It has now turned neutral on gold. The price might be close to a peak.
However, Bank of America retained its April forecast for US$3,000-an-ounce gold over the next 18 months. Citigroup said the current gold cycle is unique and prices can stay in a higher range for longer.
Goldman Sachs raised its 12-month forecast to US$2,300, expecting a search for a new reserve currency, given a gloomy outlook for the dollar.
Mainland gold production slid 7.3 percent year-on-year to 217.8 tonnes in the first half, with
gold consumption also shrinking 38.3 percent to 323.29 tonnes, mainly due to the coronavirus pandemic, data from the China Gold Association showed.
Gold production in the second quarter recovered by 5.8 percent from the first three months this year.
The association predicts the average gold price will rise 22 percent year-on-year to US$1,700 per ounce in 2020, but
global gold supply will fall by 1 percent.Source: The Standard
https://www.thestandard.com.hk/section- ... lly-stalls
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