This guy also agrees that GIC is lucky. But includes other perspectives on this whole monkey show. US taxpayers actually helped to bail out our monies ... Obama thank you.
Thursday, September 24, 2009
Who is responsible for GIC's profit? (A tale of 2 news paper report.) Who is responsible for saving GIC's hide? Lee Kuan Yew and his team of fund managers or Barrack Obama and his team of advisers? If the US govt decided not to approach GIC to convert to common stock in Feb, do you think they would have recouped their losses and managed a profit?
Their original conversion price was $26.35 not the $3.25 they received in Feb. The Straits Times is bragging that GIC had the foresight to invest in banks that were too big to fail. That is very dangerous- betting on what the Federal government decided to do instead of market and company fundamentals. GIC was lucky this time. But what about UBS? Is it making a profit?
GIC should thank their lucky stars that Lehman collapsed before Citi. The sudden collapse of Lehman made the Federal govt realise that they had to intervene and bailout the banks.
GIC was lucky to escape but will they learn anything out of this? No. Because they will remember this investment as a 'success' although they were just lucky.
A sample size of one is not really good enough to say that they made the right call. There are other failed financial investments that our sovereign wealth funds have engaged in.
Anyway, we Singaporeans should be grateful for Barrack Obama, a man who earns 8 times less than our PM.
Skeptic leaves you with 2 reports about GIC's profit to let you decide which report is biased. Who says I am not fair and balanced?

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Straits Times GIC profits from Citi stake
It makes US$1.6b from selling part of its holdings in US bankBy Fiona Chan
THE Government of Singapore Investment Corp (GIC) has sold about half its stake in United States banking giant Citigroup over the last week, reaping a profit of US$1.6 billion (S$2.3 billion). It plans to hold onto its remaining 4.9 per cent stake, which has a US$1.6 billion paper profit at current prices, GIC said in a statement on Tuesday. The state investment firm sold shares amounting to a 4.5 per cent stake in Citi on the open market between Sept 11 and Monday. Citi shares traded at US$4.12 to US$4.61 in that period, having quadrupled since March as global stock markets rallied on increased investor confidence.
GIC said the sale was meant to trim its holdings in Citi to about 5 per cent - the stake it had originally intended to have. 'A stake below 5 per cent reflects GIC's goals and desire to be a portfolio investor,' it said.
'GIC will continue its investment in Citigroup as we are confident of its long-term prospects.' Including the paper gain, this means that GIC has made a profit of almost 50 per cent on its original investment in Citi 20 months ago, despite the bank's turbulent performance since then.
In January last year, GIC had invested US$6.88 billion in Citi, only to face a potential huge paper loss when Citi shares plunged to below US$1 apiece in March this year after the bank bled heavily in the financial crisis. At one point, GIC was staring at US$5.5 billion in potential unrealised losses, according to reports then. GIC's happy ending is the result of two judgment calls that turned out to be the right ones, said GIC's chief investment officer Ng Kok Song on Tuesday.
The first was choosing to invest in a bank too big to fail. 'We had assessed that, in a crisis, Citigroup would receive US government assistance because of Citigroup's systemic importance in the US financial system,' he said. This proved true when the US government injected billions to rescue the beleaguered bank late last year. The second good judgment call was in the kind of shares that GIC bought: perpetual convertible preferred stock, which paid quarterly dividends and could be converted into common stock.
'We did not invest directly in the common stock. We wanted some protection against downside risk because of the uncertain economic outlook,' said Mr Ng. This meant that when Citi issued more shares to sell to the US government in return for the capital injection, severely diluting the stakes of common stock holders, GIC's stake was protected.
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The Wall Street Journal Citi bailout also bails out Singapore fundWednesday, 23 September 2009
Rick Carew, P.R. Venkat & Costas, Paris
GIC had big loss before latest U.S. rescue. Now it has $1.6 billion profit and half the stake Government of SingapoThe third bailout of Citigroup Inc. proved the charm for a Singaporean sovereign-wealth fund. Government of Singapore Investment Corp. said Tuesday that it took in a $1.6 billion profit by selling about half of its holdings in Citigroup since converting its holdings from preferred shares to ordinary shares earlier this month. The sovereign fund's remaining holdings are now below 5%. Citigroup and AIG pace led a renewed rally in the U.S. financial sector Tuesday, earning some paper profits for taxpayers, who are the largest investors in both battered companies. MarketWatch's Alistair Barr reports from San Francisco.
The reversal of fortune for GIC's January 2008 investment of $6.9 billion into Citigroup is due to a sweetening of terms it won from the U.S. government as part of a bailout package negotiated in February 2009. GIC and other sovereign investors gave up their 7% annual coupon payment on the preferred shares and moved lower in Citigroup's capital structure. In exchange, Citigroup reduced the conversion price of GIC and other investors' shares to $3.25 a share from the $26.35 conversion price they had agreed in the original deal.
That move carried its risks as Citigroup's stock teetered around the $1 mark in early March of this year and GIC's holdings fell in value to just $2 billion. The stock has rebounded strongly since hitting those lows to reach $4.61 a share on Sept. 11 when the conversion of GIC's stake to ordinary shares took place. GIC took money off the table after the conversion by selling shares on the open market.
It now is sitting on a further $1.6 billion paper profit on its remaining stake, GIC's Chief Investment Officer Ng Kok Song said in a statement. GIC plans to keep its stake in Citigroup because it is "confident of [Citigroup's] long term prospects," the statement said. "A stake below 5% reflects GIC's goals and desire to be a portfolio investor."
Among other investors that invested alongside GIC were Prince Alwaleed bin Talal of Saudi Arabia and the New Jersey pension system. They appear to have received similar terms as GIC in the conversion. Chinese policy lender China Development Bank had considered participating in the January 2008 Citigroup offering, but China's senior government leadership rejected the plan. The favorable terms secured by GIC in the Citigroup bailout could give it bragging rights at home in Singapore.
The city-state's other major state-owned investment arm, Temasek Holdings Pte. Ltd., lost billions of dollars on its stakes in Merrill Lynch & Co. and Barclays PLC. Temasek sold out of those holdings in late 2008 and early 2009 before banking stocks staged a recovery. Apart from its Citigroup holding, GIC also has a 9% stake in UBS AG, which it bought in late 2007. The U.S. Treasury adjusted the terms for the foreign investors in Citigroup only after it had built up a major stake in the bank itself.
Prior to the February bailout, the Treasury took $25 billion in Citi stock and warrants in October last year as part of $125 billion rescue package of eight major financial institutions. Then in November, the U.S. Treasury put an additional $20 billion into Citigroup as its stock tumbled and agreed to protect Citi against losses on a $301 billion pool of assets.