Inflows ? As far as I'm concerned, I see outflows only as indicated by the low Average Daily Turnover on the HKSE and the weak HKD ...
Hot-money inflows could cause economies to overheat: Tony Tan
By Ryan Huang
SINGAPORE : Hot-money inflows could cause economies to overheat and create asset bubbles if they are not well managed, warned Government of Singapore Investment Corp (GIC) deputy chairman Tony Tan.
The comments came in remarks he made at an investment panel in Davos.
Despite such concerns, he cautioned countries not to impose capital controls that could hurt long-term capital investments.
Dr Tan said: "It is important that capital-recipient countries design their capital controls in a way that clearly distinguishes between short-term money and long-term capital.
"If governments closed their capital markets to long-term investors, recipient countries will face higher capital costs, while investors will see their opportunity set shrink."
In his remarks, Dr Tan highlighted the dichotomy between strong demand for investment capital and a growing reluctance among investors to part with their money for the long term.
Global investment demand may rise to US$24 trillion in 2030, compared with US$11 trillion now, Dr Tan said, citing a McKinsey study.
In the face of strong demand for funds, long-term investing will decline, driven by "more volatile markets; the tendency by companies and managements to focus only on the short term; and the need for liquidity by traditional long-term investors," he said.
"The great financial crisis may have lessened the appetite for taking illiquidity risks by some investors like insurance companies and endowments," Dr Tan added.
The increase in demand for long-term capital and its shrinking supply may "reverse the low interest-rate environment the world has enjoyed the last few decades," he said.
- CNA/al
http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/ ... 79/1/.html
