Technical Analysis

StockCharts.com’s Chief Technical Analyst, John Murphy has created another set of trading rules:

“Ten Laws of Technical Trading:”  

“Which way is the market moving? How far up or down will it go? And when will it go the other way? These are the basic concerns of the technical analyst.

Behind the charts and graphs and mathematical formulas used to analyze market trends are some basic concepts that apply to most of the theories employed by today’s technical analysts.”

The following are John’s ten most important rules of technical trading:

•  Map the Trends
•  Spot the Trend and Go With It
•  Find the Low and High of It
•  Know How Far to Backtrack
•  Draw the Line
•  Follow That Average
•  Learn the Turns
•  Know the Warning Signs
•  Trend or Not a Trend?
•  Know the Confirming Signs

1.  Map the Trends

Study long-term charts. Begin a chart analysis with monthly and weekly charts spanning several years. A larger scale “map of the market” provides more visibility and a better long-term perspective on a market.

Once the long-term has been established, then consult daily and intra-day charts. A short-term market view alone can often be deceptive.

Even if you only trade the very short term, you will do better if you’re trading in the same direction as the intermediate and longer term trends.

S&P 500 (SPX) : Ichimoku Weekly Chart shows consolidation.

Source : http://tradingichimoku.com

On the Ichimoku Weekly Chart, SPX is showing signs of forming a base between 1010 and 1080.

At this moment, the Chaikin Money Flow indicator is not showing any signs of distribution.

Looking ahead, we see a flat kumo top. This suggest that there will be support at 990 but at the same time, it also suggests that SPX may also trade at the level in the coming 2-3 months (flat kumo is a sign of equilibrium which ‘attracts’ price level to grativate towards it)

I will still stick to my point that we are now in a ‘trendless state’ as the price level is inside the kumo and the leading kumo is flattening off.

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