by winston » Fri Aug 27, 2010 7:03 am
Wonder how many times he has been to Korea ?
Seven Reasons to Buy South Korean Equities by Louis Basenese
Here are seven other reasons why South Korea represents a good destination for your money...
1. Stocks Are Cheap and Trending Higher:
Three months ago, Korea's stock market (the Kospi Index) was trading close to its late 2008 lows, based on a forward price-to-earnings ratio. At the same time, stocks were valued at about eight times forward earnings, which was a full standard deviation away from the historical average.
In short, a reversion to the mean was in order. And it's materializing. Over the past three months, the Kospi has rallied by 11%, compared to a 5% decline for the S&P 500 index.
But even after the move, South Korean stocks are still undervalued. They currently trade for less than 10 times forward earnings and less than one times sales, on average. And the only thing better than cheap stocks are cheap stocks with positive momentum on their side.
2. The South Korean Economy is Growing Solidly:
Based on estimates from The Economist and International Monetary Fund, South Korea's GDP is likely to grow by at least 5.75% this year.
3. Inflation is in Check:
Consumer prices were only up 2.6% in July, year-over-year. But the Bank of Korea (BOK) is already on the scene to prevent inflation from topping 4%. In fact, the bank announced a surprise interest rate hike to 2.25% in July.
4. The Currency is Undervalued:
Any way you look at it, the South Korean won is undervalued relative to the U.S. dollar. In fact, Barclays estimates the discount at approximately 35%. Meanwhile, The Economist's Big Mac Index pegs the discount around 20%. Even if stock prices stagnate, we can profit from an appreciating currency.
5. The South Korean Government's Balance Sheet is Solid:
Unlike some countries, South Korea didn't overeat at the debt buffet. Public spending only accounts for about 25% of GDP, compared to 115% in Greece and 192% in Japan. Moreover, the country is enjoying a current account surplus, thanks to strong exports, particularly of semiconductors and automobiles.
6. South Korea is on the Verge of a Promotion:
When MSCI reviewed countries for reclassification this year, South Korea narrowly missed getting promoted from emerging market to developed status.
As MSCI put it, South Korea "continues to meet most developed markets criteria... notably economic development, market size and liquidity."
An easily convertible currency and widespread access to stock market data are the only criteria holding it back. But improvements are being made on both fronts. And rest assured, when the promotion comes, it will legitimize the opportunity, bringing with it more investment capital and boosting equity prices. For now, South Korea remains one of the most developed emerging markets out there (i.e. - it's less risky).
7. Mark Mobius is on Our Side:
When it comes to emerging markets, no investor has a better track record than Mark Mobius. He's notoriously the first to sniff out opportunities. And he has positive things to say about South Korea, including that he's "encouraged" by the recent pickup in new orders for South Korean manufacturers.
Even better, he's backing up his talk with capital. South Korea represents one of the top 10 countries for investment in his closed-end Templeton Emerging Markets Fund (NYSE: EMF).
Source: Investment U
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"