by millionairemind » Fri Apr 09, 2010 9:19 am
Apr 9, 2010
How high will COE prices go?
By Christopher Tan, Senior Correspondent
BIG spikes in certificate of entitlement (COE) prices have raised the question of whether they will hit levels seen in 1994, when premiums peaked at $110,500.
No, say motor traders and industry watchers, pointing to vastly different market conditions and changes made to the COE system over the years.
But they expect current prices of $30,000 to $40,000 to be the norm for some time to come.
Dealers contacted said several factors led to the premiums topping $100,000 in the mid-1990s, and the main reason was widespread speculation.
Punters used to place ever-higher bids to secure COEs in order to resell them at a profit. And if a speculator could not resell a costly COE, he would use it to buy a cheap motorcycle and deregister it immediately to recover his outlay.
But after COE prices peaked, the Government stepped in quickly with a slew of measures, including making car COEs non-transferable.
"If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he has been wrong" - Bernard Baruch
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