How $MSFT makes money
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1892941573307945366
Over the past eight quarters, the Redmond, Wash.-based firm's earnings per share grew 10%, 21%, 27%, 26%, 20%, 10%, 10% and 10% vs. year-ago levels.
Those figures stand nowhere near the high double-digit or triple-digit profit growth rates seen in some young tech companies,
In fiscal 2024, Microsoft earned $11.80 a share. That's equivalent to roughly $87.7 billion in net income.
Sales over the same time frame increased 7%, 8%, 13%, 18%, 17%, 15%, 16% and 12% vs. year-ago levels.
The return on equity in fiscal 2025 is also splendid at 37%.
The fiscal 2025 year ends in June. Wall Street sees earnings rising 11% to $13.15 a share. That estimate was recently revised lower. In fiscal 2026, profit is seen accelerating 14% to $14.95 a share.
The stock's annual dividend yield has edged up to 0.9%, favoring the long-term holder. But that yield trails the S&P 500's yield of 1.3%.
Since Microsoft stock is not at all close to marking a new 52-week or all-time high and not in a position chart-wise to break out, it is not a buy now.
Given that the stock has also already fallen below its 50- and 200-day lines and plummeted for weeks, it is still a dangerous time to sell shares short. Why?
At some point, institutional investors might see the pullback as a ripe opportunity to add more shares to their long-term positions. And market makers often try to force short sellers to cover their positions by bidding up the stock after a sharp short-term drop.
Fifty-four of the 57 analysts who cover the stock rate it as a Buy, with a consensus price target of just under $505.
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