by winston » Tue Mar 24, 2026 11:29 am
The Impact the Israel-Hezbollah War Will Have on Lebanon
What's Happening:
Israel is escalating operations against Hezbollah, shifting from containment to a broader campaign aimed at severely damaging-or potentially dismantling-the group's military capabilities in Lebanon.
What Comes Next:
This is shaping into a war of attrition. Israel is likely to exapnd ground operations and push for a buffer zone in southern Lebanon, while Hezbollah seeks to outlast the campaign and preserve its influence. Regardless of the outcome, Lebanon faces rising internal strain, with increasing risks of political fragmentation-or even civil conflict.
Source: RANE Worldview
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"