Years Of Repeat Central Planning Mistakes Have Doomed China's Economy
https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/yea ... as-economy
This was always one of the dumbest debates
https://x.com/ChinaBeigeBook/status/1874873664400949302
China's high-end restaurants saw average spending per person drop by about 20 percent in 2024 with the driving force of dining consumption shifting from large cities to small and medium-sized ones.
Expectations for a massive swap of so-called hidden debt that would bring a swath of borrowing on to local governments’ official balance sheets.
The hope is that the process would reduce risks of default, lower debt-servicing costs and give local officials greater scope to support economic growth.
LGFVs are companies that borrow on behalf of provinces and cities to finance investment in infrastructure such as roads, bridges, airports and industrial parks.
The International Monetary Fund estimates LGFVs had over 60 trillion yuan (S$11.5 trillion) of debt as of last year — equivalent to about half of China’s gross domestic product.
MORE Chinese regions are cutting electricity prices to help out their embattled industries, which is likely to worsen the squeeze on profits at power suppliers.
The richest coastal provinces have reduced their benchmark thermal power prices by about 10 per cent from last year.
The bank expects power demand for coal, the country’s mainstay fuel, to fall by 4 per cent in 2025.
The government has said it will sell more special sovereign and local bonds this year to fund various programs, including subsidies for buying smartphones and cars. Part of the funding will also be used to rein in local governments’ debt risks and recapitalize banks to beef up their lending ability.
Liao reiterated that details for the issuance are undergoing the necessary legal process and will be announced at the annual session of the National People’s Congress in March.
Authorities have also promised to raise the official deficit to signal their emphasis on growth. Beijing has typically kept the level at 3 percent of gross domestic product as it seeks to demonstrate fiscal discipline. The official deficit doesn’t count money borrowed through special bond sales.
Pledging supportive monetary tools, measures to stem property market risks and tighter financial links between the mainland and Hong Kong.
China will consider cutting interest rates and the reserve requirement ratio “to ensure ample liquidity and maintain a supportive environment” for lending.
Beijing could also adjust and increase fiscal spending, he said.
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