"Trump's trading pauses, US stocks still bullish before the end of the year?"
'24.11.14【 豐富│財經起床號】黃詣庭談「川普交易暫歇,美股年底前仍偏多?」
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Zrd6FQJzCOc
Berkshire Hathaway’s cash position stands at around 28 per cent of assets, the highest since at least 1990.
The expected return on US equities over the next five years has fallen to 5.2 per cent per annum from 5.7 per cent a year ago. Once you compare this to 4.7 per cent for US government bonds, a similar return for much lower volatility, this suggests that you should allocate a lot more to bonds relative to equities in the past.
Stick to a plan of investing regularly in different asset classes. Equities provide a long-term hedge against inflation.
Gold also can provide a hedge against inflation, although it does not provide inflation-adjusted cashflows the way equities do. Therefore, we maintain a smaller 5 to 10 per cent allocation in our foundation portfolios.
Bonds still warrant an allocation as they are still likely to provide some diversification benefits and yields above the inflation rate.
Private debt and private equity have long-term expected return of around 9 per cent.
Real estate is also an interesting area to consider.
If we move back to basics of why investing is important, it makes the desirable investment plan clearer. There are two simple objectives in my opinion.
First, protect against inflation, which over long periods of time massively reduces the value of money.
Second, to grow wealth beyond the level of inflation via compounding.
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