by winston » Tue Jul 16, 2024 2:37 pm
not vested
JPMorgan Chase & Co – Investment banking revenue surges
Recommendation: Accumulate (Downgraded), Last done: US$210.05, TP: US$231.19
1H24 adjusted PATMI of US$26.6bn was 48% of our FY24e forecast and was slightly below our estimates.
JPM recorded higher NII, asset management, and investment banking income, which were offset by higher expenses and provisions.
DPS raised 15% YoY to US$1.15, but the dividend payout ratio dipped slightly to 19% (2Q23: 21%), with 2Q24 common stock net repurchases at US$4.9bn (2Q23: US$1.8bn).
NII rose 4% YoY from the impact of the balance sheet mix and higher rates, while loans grew 6% YoY. Principal transactions were down 1% YoY, while asset management and investment banking rose 14% and 52%, respectively.
JPM has maintained its FY24e NII guidance of US$91bn and expenses guidance of US$92bn.
Downgrade to ACCUMULATE with an unchanged target price of US$231.19 as we account for recent share price performance.
Our FY24e estimates remain unchanged.
We assume 2.07x FY24e P/BV and ROE estimate of 20.2% in our GGM valuation.
We like JPM for its ability to continue growing revenue in all their segments, particularly in the Consumer & Community Banking and Corporate & Investment Bank.
Despite headwinds to NII from deposit balances and potentially higher provisions, JPM’s strong growth in management fees and continued net inflows will support their earnings momentum.
Source: Phillips
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"