by winston » Thu Aug 29, 2024 4:24 pm
not vested
Aug 5, 2024
Gamuda – BUY
Set to deliver record earnings in FY24.
Gamuda’s earnings outlook remains promising as we expect it to post record-breaking earnings in FY24 on stronger performance from both the construction and property development divisions.
This is backed by robust progress billings from its current projects on hand coupled with the progressive property launches and recognition of unbilled sales (stood at RM6.7b as of 3QFY24) within the property development division.
Resilient replenishment. We believe the group is well on track to achieve its replenishment targets of RM25b in FY24-25 (around RM12.5b p.a), having secured seven contracts worth RM16b-18b ytd.
We believe there are some other big-ticket local infrastructure projects up for grabs, including MRT3 (although delay risk persists), Segment 2 and 3 of Penang LRT, as well as Pan Borneo Highway Sabah Phase 1B.
Property development division sees promising outlook ahead. The property development division is also projected to deliver better earnings in FY24 on the back of higher new-property sales and progressive recognition of unbilled sales.
Upcoming new launches in the pipeline include Gardens Park in Sungai Buloh with a gross development value (GDV) of RM4b, Eaton Park in Ho Chi Minh City with a GDV of RM5.1b, and two additional quick turnaround projects (QTP).
These new projects are expected to achieve commendable take-up rates, thus injecting fresh earnings momentum.
Maintain BUY with a target price of RM7.34, which implies an appealing 16.0x FY25F PE (0.25SD above the five-year historical mean of 15x). Gamuda stands to be the prime beneficiary of the upcoming mega infrastructure projects both locally and regionally.
We also like the company for its superior earnings visibility backed by a robust orderbook coupled with progressive new property launches.
Source: UOBKH
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