Risks Out There 07 (May 23 - Dec 26)

Risk Management 02 (Aug 15 - Dec 24)

Postby winston » Wed May 22, 2024 8:38 am

Investing gets riskier

By YVONNE TAN

Geopolitical risks — have increased exponentially. Throw in global changes such as the transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy, the growing importance of ESG and the increasing number of alternatives, investing has indeed become much more challenging.

It is vital to understand that geopolitical events generally do not have a long-lasting impact on investment portfolios.

While disruptions can create short-term volatility, economic growth, innovation and a diversified portfolio, can help investors achieve their goals over time.

JPM believes that four areas of thematic plays — national defence, energy provision, supply chains and cybersecurity — will continue to be in focus.

Generally, stocks that fall in times of conflict are those related to tourism and travel.

History has shown that in the midst of most conflicts, stocks do tend to falter, but after a while, markets have been known to shrug off these concerns, choosing to focus more on the actual growth of economies.


Source: The Star

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/bus ... ts-riskier
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Re: Risks Out There 06 (May 20 - Dec 24)

Postby behappyalways » Sat May 25, 2024 9:15 pm

Concerns Grow Over The Increasing Abilities Of AI
https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/co ... e_vignette
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Re: Risks Out There 06 (May 20 - Dec 24)

Postby winston » Thu May 30, 2024 6:24 pm

These are the 3 big risks to the stock market, economist says

by Greg Iacurci

KEY POINTS

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq stock indexes closed at record highs on Tuesday.

There are risks ahead, though: Federal Reserve policy, a surprise recession and disappointing company earnings, one economist said.

Long-term investors should avoid the impulse to sell if the stock market falls.

Source: CNBC

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/05/22/3-big-r ... yourwealth
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Re: Risks Out There 06 (May 20 - Dec 24)

Postby winston » Sat Jun 01, 2024 11:00 am

Higher for longer rates mean no escape from the debt squeeze

Companies going bust, mounting credit card debt, higher mortgage bills.

Even where consumer spending looks solid, it’s often being funded by borrowing, from credit cards to “Buy Now Pay Later” services.

For Gen Z, almost one in seven are maxing out their credit cards every month to cope with the rise in living standards.

US consumers have added US$3.4 trillion (RM16.01 trillion) in debt since the pandemic, and much of that is subject to higher interest rates.


Source: Bloomberg

https://theedgemalaysia.com/node/713898
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Re: Risks Out There 06 (May 20 - Dec 24)

Postby winston » Wed Jun 12, 2024 10:49 am

US: Five Predictions for the coming Decade of Decline

1. Inflation is coming
The government’s own projections forecast an extra $20 trillion in new debt over the coming decade, and frankly that’s optimistic.

2. Social Security is not going to be there for you
by 2033, Social Security’s trust funds will run out of money.

3. Higher taxes are virtually guaranteed

4. Continued social chaos

5. Maybe most importantly, major geopolitical disruptions.


Source: Schiff Sovereign
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Re: Risks Out There 06 (May 20 - Dec 24)

Postby behappyalways » Thu Jun 13, 2024 6:45 am

Rumors Of Another Bank Crisis Swirl As Big Banks Dump Loans
https://dashboard.verifiedinvesting.com ... dump-loans
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Re: Risks Out There 06 (May 20 - Dec 24)

Postby winston » Sat Jun 15, 2024 2:59 pm

Doug Kass: I've Been Wrong, But Here's Why I Remain Bearish

Fifteen reasons I continue to view this market cautiously — and you should too.

by Doug Kass

1. Equity performance has been top heavy
2. Corporate profit performance is also reliant of mega-cap tech
3. Corporate profit expectations are unrealistic
4. The market is not broadening out
5. Traditional valuation metrics are generally in the 90% tile or higher
6. The breathtaking reset in valuations (since October) could mean reverse
7. Interest rates are likely to remain higher for longer
8. Equities have rarely been as overvalued against interest rates as they are today
9. Global economic growth is expected to be weak (relative to consensus)
10. Inflation (particularly of a service-kind) will remain sticky
11. Consensus S&P EPS may be too high
12. Political risks are underappreciated
13. Geopolitical risks are unlikely to abate
14. Investor sentiment remains bullish and fear is absent
15. Market structure and investor positioning are potentially toxic market influences


Source: The Street

https://pro.thestreet.com/market-commen ... m_content=
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Re: Risks Out There 06 (May 20 - Dec 24)

Postby behappyalways » Sun Jun 16, 2024 12:36 pm

The Entire System Is Crumbling! Major Red Flags Are Popping Up For Banks, Small Businesses And Retailers
https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-fina ... nesses-and
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Re: Risks Out There 06 (May 20 - Dec 24)

Postby behappyalways » Mon Jun 17, 2024 3:25 pm

Nvidia, Apple And GameStop Are The Entire Stock Market Right Now…And That's Dangerous
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nvidi ... -dangerous
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Re: Risks Out There 06 (May 20 - Dec 24)

Postby behappyalways » Fri Jun 21, 2024 6:44 am

Yen/USD and also oil prices breaking US$80 again
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