Warning Signs 04 (Jul 23 - Dec 26)

by **winston** » Sat Jul 01, 2023 9:08 pm

A Warning Sign for Market Bulls

by Jeff Clark

VIX option prices are suggesting the VIX is headed higher next month. And, a higher VIX usually goes along with a falling stock market.

When VIX calls are far more expensive than the equivalent put options, it shows VIX option traders expect the index to move sharply higher over the next several weeks.

And a rising VIX (rising volatility) usually accompanies a falling stock market.

So, if you’re making short-term bullish bets, be careful.

Source: Jeff Clark Trader

https://dailytradealert.com/2023/07/01/ ... ket-bulls/

by **winston** » Fri Jul 07, 2023 1:45 pm

These are the 8 warning signs investors should follow to know if a stock market correction is imminent

by Matthew Fox

1. Evidence of speculation and complacency
2. Defensive strength
3. Negative momentum and breadth divergence
4. Seasonality concerns
5. DeMark exhaustion
6. Trend deterioration in key market sectors
7. Overbought market conditions on weekly, monthly basis
8. Intra-market divergence

Source: Business Insider

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/8-warnin ... 12157.html

by **behappyalways** » Thu Jul 20, 2023 4:15 pm

When I see $CVNA +1000% this year after nearly going bankrupt months ago, and today they said they would dilute shareholders but the stock went up 50%...I remember vividly $GME, $AMC and $hitcoins. Just be careful folks, don't be left holding the bag.
https://twitter.com/GarethSoloway/statu ... 8752075777

A credit event is coming
https://twitter.com/leadlagreport/statu ... 1668166657

by **winston** » Fri Jul 28, 2023 9:00 pm

Dumb Money Indicators Hit Extreme Levels: Frothy Signs for Tech?

By Chris Kimble

Both the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) and VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SMH) are approaching all-time highs (which mark important resistance).

The “dumb money” confidence indicator is off-the-charts high! You can see that it is well above the red line (caution).

Will extreme dumb money confidence mark a bubbly trading top, or will the good times continue?

Source: investing.com

https://www.investing.com/analysis/dumb ... s_headline

by **winston** » Tue Aug 01, 2023 6:41 pm

Warren Buffett's favorite market gauge hits 171%, signaling stocks are overheated and a crash may be coming

by Theron Mohamed

The Buffett Indicator has surged to 171% as investors bet on AI, rate cuts, and a soft landing.

Buffett suggested in a Fortune article in 2001 that stocks would be fairly valued at a 100% reading, and buying them at the 70% or 80% level would probably work out nicely. However, he warned it would be "playing with fire" to purchase them around the 200% mark.

Buffett's preferred yardstick takes the total market capitalization of all actively traded US stocks, and divides that figure by the latest official estimate for quarterly gross domestic product (GDP).

Source: Business Insider

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-b ... 09174.html

by **behappyalways** » Mon Aug 28, 2023 1:29 pm

Do Plunging Retail Stocks Signal The US Consumer Is Finally Done

Source: Zero Hedge

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/do-pl ... nally-done

by **behappyalways** » Thu Sep 07, 2023 5:17 pm

Ominous Beige Book Warns Consumers "Exhaust Savings" As Recession Mentions Soar To 5 Year High
https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/omi ... -year-high

by **behappyalways** » Thu Sep 14, 2023 4:40 pm

Canary in the mine....be careful

Xlu surging...Russell 2000 falling...

by **behappyalways** » Mon Sep 18, 2023 10:09 am

Xlu....The smart money are seeking safety...

https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y

behappyalways wrote:Canary in the mine....be careful

Xlu surging...Russell 2000 falling...

by **behappyalways** » Thu Sep 28, 2023 9:35 am

Apple broke support. Pointing towards 150++.

S&P head and shoulders formed and broke down...

With Apple being a major component of the stock indices, quite obvious where we are going...

We are oversold and there might be a relief rebound but...

Bond yield is up, USD is up and oil price is up...

behappyalways wrote:Xlu....The smart money are seeking safety...

https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y

behappyalways wrote:Canary in the mine....be careful

Xlu surging...Russell 2000 falling...

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