by winston » Thu Apr 13, 2023 6:30 pm
vested
JD.com (JD.O) - Business Update & 1Q23 Preview; Lower 2Q/FY23 Growth
We believe JD is likely to report 1Q23 around mid-May, which we expect to be relatively in-line with our/consensus forecast.
However, as broader macro and consumption sentiment has been recovering at a slower-than-expected pace, together with JD’s proactive adjustment of its general merchandise categories and more intensified competitive landscape, we lower our 2Q23, FY2023-25E growth assumptions to reflect slower rebound of top line.
With the announcement and filing of upcoming listing plans for JD Property and JD Industrial, we also update our SOTP methodology.
With lower estimates, our revised SOTP is adjusted to US$68 (from US$83). JD is currently trading at 15x/13x our 2023E/2024E group earnings, or 12x/10x if excluding JD Retail-only net cash, which we view as undemanding.
Maintain Buy. While we view the current share price as attractive, we believe the share price is likely to be range-bound until JD delivers reaccelerated top-line growth.
Source: Citi
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