by winston » Thu Apr 27, 2023 9:24 am
not vested
MICROSOFT CORPORATION (MSFT US)
Recommendation : BUY
Fair Value : USD 340.00
3QFY23 EARNINGS SOLID BEAT, IMPROVED GROWTH OUTLOOK .
Reported 3QFY23 (financial year ending in Jun 2023) revenue and earnings per share (EPS) beat estimates and guidance; 4QFY23 guidance stronger
Core software suite renewals and new sales exceeded the company’s expectations
Reiterate staying with MSFT for AI leadership; revise fair value (FV) up from USD330 to USD340
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT, stock code: MSFT US) is a multinational technology that was founded in 1975 and has gone on to become one of the largest and most successful companies in the world.
Our key thesis for MSFT is that it is a SWAN (Sleep-Well-At-Night) stock for the long-term investor, with a strong balance sheet, high recurring cash flows, and relatively stable but higher-than-market growth rates.
Under the current CEO, the company has also consistently been able to balance between cash flow generation and reinvestment into growth opportunities via research and development (R&D), thoughtful acquisitions, and investments.
Mature personal computer (PC) and office productivity products drive strong cash flow generation which are reinvested into growth drivers such as cloud computing and AI, paving the way for sustainable stronger growth rates into the future.
Post recent AI developments and initiatives by the company and 3QFY23 results, we get more confidence around MSFT being able to generate a low to high-teens revenue and earnings CAGR over the subsequent 3-5 years.
Source: OCBC
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"