Turmoil Lurks Around The Corner
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TSLA is at $180, if you do hold, don't trade it, will scale to $1500 in our base case.
So almost tenfold, in five years. Why? Because electric vehicles have entered the sweet spot of their S curve and Tesla is leading the charge,
Tesla’s Quantum Score is 70.7, which is not in the perfect sweet spot but is quite good. The ideal score to buy is usually in the 80s, and I avoid stocks under 50.
Big Money has mostly sold Tesla over the last three months, and not surprisingly, shares are down nearly 25% in that time.
Taking all of these factors into consideration, I see a probable buying opportunity in TSLA right now.
Fundamentals remain strong. Price action is improving. And the stock is following its usual pattern of rallying after Big Money sells.
But one of our key factors is missing – Big Money buying.
Tesla’s Model Y and Model 3 electric vehicles were the top sellers in California last year,
The company now markets five vehicles: the entry-level Model 3 sedan, the Model S luxury sedan, the Model Y SUV/crossover and the Model X luxury SUV/crossover, and finally the Tesla Semi.
In 2022, Musk's firm earned $12.6 billion. Its revenue jumped to $81.5 billion.
The automotive gross margin widened to 28.5%.
GM, for its part, posted net income of $9.9 billion on revenue of $157 billion for the year.
Ford was in the red last year, posting a net loss of $2 billion on revenue of $158.1 billion.
Ford has an adjusted margin before interest and taxes of 6.6%, while GM says its adjusted Ebit margin in North America was 10.1% in 2022.
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