Trader's Thread 05 (Jan 20 - Dec 26)

Re: Trader's Thread 04 (Feb 12 - Jun 20)

Postby winston » Sat Apr 11, 2020 9:03 am

A Top Gun’s Take on Maintaining Control Despite the Coronavirus

“Most investors make several mistakes fighter pilots don’t,” Steve said.

“The biggest problem is a loss of situational awareness,” Steve observed. Meaning that they don’t understand what’s happening around them because they become hyper-focused on one or two things happening right in front of them.

Turns out most investors – like fighter pilots – get into trouble when they let their fears change their decision process.

“Contrary to what people think, nothing happens in an F-14 without a checklist… nothing.” The irony, says Steve, is that people “instinctively focus on not losing money when making it is actually the objective.”

“Being scared is normal,” says Steve. “But losing control over how you perceive your environment is the real problem. Checklists, like proven investment tactics, exist because they work, not just for kicks and giggles.”

“This is deceptive,” he noted. “The vast majority of people want to succeed but, in doing so, overestimate their ability to recover from a crisis like this one. So, they spiral out of control and, unfortunately meet an undesirable end that was entirely preventable, had they followed procedures and training.”

I’ve seen similar behavior countless times over the years from investors who think they’re playing it safe by going to the sidelines, only to realize too late that they’ve actually created more risk by doing so.

The fact that so many sold everything during the Global Financial Crisis and never got back in is one of the most glaring examples.

Steve leaned in and said succinctly, “Focus is everything, and as long as you have that, you will adapt to changing conditions, you will remain ‘mission oriented,’ and, odds are, you will win.”


Source: Total Wealth

https://totalwealthresearch.com/2020/04 ... 3A31%3A39Z
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Trader's Thread 04 (Feb 12 - Jun 20)

Postby winston » Fri May 29, 2020 3:46 pm

7 day trading mistakes everyone makes but you can avoid

By Michael Sincere

1. Big, overconfident bets
2. Overtrading
3. Holding losers too long
4. Selling winners too soon or too late
5. Too many technical indicators
6. Panic buying the hottest stocks
7. Not enough practice


Source: Market Watch

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/quara ... yptr=yahoo
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Trader's Thread 04 (Feb 12 - Jun 20)

Postby winston » Fri Jul 24, 2020 12:10 pm

What Poker Players Can Teach You About Successful Trading

by Nicholas Vardy

The most important thing behind their success in trading was "bet size."

As market wizard Larry Hite put it...
Never risk more than 1% of your total equity in any one trade. By risking 1%, I am indifferent to any individual trade. Keeping your risk small and constant is absolutely critical.

"Turtle trader" Richard Dennis observed the same thing:
You have to minimize your losses and try to preserve capital for those very few instances where you can make a lot in a very short period of time. What you can't afford to do is throw away your capital on suboptimal trades.

The original market wizards members, Bruce Kovner and Paul Tudor Jones II, recall that they lost the most money when they bought positions that were too big relative to their capital.


Let me leave you with some rules of thumb for successful trading.

Always calculate the maximum you are willing to lose on a trade - and size your position accordingly.

Set your stop price based on the specific characteristics of the stock.

Never risk losing more than 1% of your capital on any one trade.

I personally have never risked more than 0.5% (one-half of 1%) on any one idea for any of the hedge funds I traded.

Successful trading is less about being right all the time... and far more about sizing your bets to make sure that you stay in the game long enough to win.


Source: The Oxford Club
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Trader's Thread 04 (Feb 12 - Jun 20)

Postby winston » Wed Aug 05, 2020 10:20 am

Improve Your Investing Performance With a Coin-Flip Mindset

by Jody Chudley

Heads “I Win,” Tails “I Don’t Lose Much”.

Result No. 1: The coin comes up heads = Pabrai wins big.
Result No. 2: The coin comes up tails = Pabrai breaks even or doesn’t lose much.

He wants every investment that he enters to be low-risk and high-reward.


Source: Wealthy Retirement

https://dailytradealert.com/2020/08/04/ ... p-mindset/
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Trader's Thread 04 (Feb 12 - Jun 20)

Postby winston » Mon Aug 31, 2020 8:00 am

Mistakes that rookie traders make

1. JUMPING IN WITHOUT TESTING OUT TRADING STRATEGIES
2. CHASING HYPED STOCKS INSTEAD OF DOING RESEARCH
3. INVESTING MONEY YOU NEED IN FIVE YEARS
4. GETTING YOURSELF INTO COMPLEX TRADES BEFORE YOU'RE READY
5. OBSESSIVELY CHECKING YOUR PORTFOLIO


Source: Bloomberg

https://www.straitstimes.com/business/i ... aders-make
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Trader's Thread 04 (Feb 12 - Jun 20)

Postby behappyalways » Fri Sep 04, 2020 12:04 pm

Day Trader Options Frenzy Turns Ugly in $730 Billion Nasdaq Rout
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/day-trad ... 19679.html
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Re: Trader's Thread 04 (Feb 12 - Jun 20)

Postby behappyalways » Sun Sep 06, 2020 1:05 pm

Huge Swings in Options-Overrun Stocks Leave Manager Baffled
https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/arti ... ssion=true
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Re: Trader's Thread 04 (Feb 12 - Jun 20)

Postby behappyalways » Tue Sep 08, 2020 11:36 am

How SoftBank's Billion-Dollar Option Bets Helped Fuel the Stock Market Rally
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=fm2cnP1ruag
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Re: Trader's Thread 04 (Feb 12 - Jun 20)

Postby winston » Tue Sep 08, 2020 2:35 pm

Nasdaq Whale Theory for Tech Stock Surge Is Stirring Doubts

by Yakob Peterseil and Joanna Ossinger

Evidence suggests the kind of strategies pursued by institutions like SoftBank have a minimal effect on stock-market volatility.

The real power is being wielded by day traders buying enormous amounts of call options on tech stocks.

The Financial Times reported that SoftBank spent $4 billion over the past few months buying equity derivatives on technology stocks.

Retail punters shelled out $40 billion in call premiums in a month.

Individual investors have been piling into call options that usually expire within two weeks. The short-term nature of the contracts requires hedging by market makers, which in turn fanned higher stock prices.

In contrast, trades favored by large institutions don’t necessarily require market makers to buy and sell the underlying stock to hedge themselves.


Source: Bloomberg

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nasdaq-w ... 45049.html
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Trader's Thread 04 (Feb 12 - Jun 20)

Postby winston » Thu Sep 10, 2020 1:49 pm

The danger in the market right now is…you

By Mitch Tuchman

Don’t react to short-term events as if they were permanent changes

Say you manage to escape. Now the problem is deciding when to return.

A lot of investors ran away in March near the bottom. How many of them only bought back in by June, well after the rebound?




Source: Market Watch

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-d ... yptr=yahoo
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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