by winston » Mon May 27, 2019 8:04 am
CHARTS
Looking at the charts, there are some very clear, quite ominous double tops on SP500, NASDAQ, NASDAQ 100 when you look at a weekly chart. DJ30 showing a triple top.
SOX is a bit different: its weekly chart shows it sitting on top of the range from late 2017 to early 2019 before the run to a new high. At least it has a breakout and a test it can rally off.
On the daily charts there is that same head and shoulders look from the past three months for pretty much all the indices: SP500, NASDAQ, NASDAQ 100, DJ30, SP400.
The upshot of this is that the patterns don't look all that great. After the 2018 range/topping event, the breaks to new highs or near new highs failed. Most of the indices are now at the point of having to shake off a near term bearish pattern to have the opportunity to try and break up the bigger bearish pattern.
The market's eyes have to be on the semiconductors. A new high failed and the chips are now testing the tops of the 2018 to early 2019 range. The near term pattern here is a head and shoulders as well. If SOX can shake this off, then the rest of the market has a shot at following - for the past few years, as the chips go, so the market goes.
Source: Investment House
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"