How Investors Can Diversify When Markets Move Together By Jeff Cox
When it comes to combating financial markets that all seem to move in unison, the options are getting so limited that some are questioning whether stock picking is a dying art.
The 10 sectors on the Standard & Poor's 500 [.SPX 1224.58 20.92 (+1.74%) ] have been moving together up or down
95 percent of the time, according to ConvergEx.
US stocks are tied to the
euro's movement 81 percent of the time, while even the least correlated S&P sector —
utilities — is still highly correlated.Shelter from the storm has come from only a few asset classes, with gold and other metals most prominent among them.
Over the past 30 days, the
correlation of gold to the stock market is actually negative-24 percent, while
silver has just a 25 percent correlation.Investment-grade — top-quality — bonds also have proven effective, as they generate cash and have resisted the gyrations of the market to continue on a fairly linear path.
Using the
iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Bond ETF as a proxy, Colas found that the fund has a
negative-25 percent correlation to the S&P 500, meaning it "is the only asset class aside from precious metals that meaningfully helps diversify financial portfolio risk at the moment."
Among S&P sectors, Colas found that utilities have a correlation of 85 percent.
"If there is one central takeaway, it is that the
certainty of cash flows from either utilities or high quality corporate bonds is currently the best way to buy diversification," Colas said.
"The only thing that's acting relatively uncorrelated is the
dividend stocks," says Michael Cohn, chief market strategist at Global Arena Investment Management in New York.
"If you're afraid of being left out of a rally, you have to be buying the stuff that's yielding over 3.5 percent. Complete opposite correlation is coming from the
Treasury funds, but I can't really justify going out on the curve for a yield that's under inflation."
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44892053
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