Short-Selling, Puts & Inverse ETFs 02 (Feb 12 - Dec 25)

Short-Selling, Puts & Inverse ETFs 02 (Feb 12 - Dec 25)

Postby Aspellian » Fri Feb 17, 2012 4:18 pm

Shorts are all caught left-right-center... i have a friend who was very confident of his S&P short of 1280 with huge buffer then... not sure whether he has put aside his ego to close the position...

when all has abandoned their guard and poured money in... that could be ripe for picking... trying to remind myself not to be the point-guard as this is a relatively strong market - the first few rounds of selling could be "bargain hunting" calls by analysts... if there's really a downtrend, wait for the bounce before enter...

** haha.. as if i can time it so well ** :lol:

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Re: Short-Selling & Buying Puts 01 (May 08 - Mar 12)

Postby kennynah » Fri Feb 17, 2012 8:43 pm

Aspellian wrote:** haha.. as if i can time it so well ** :lol:


you might be surprised that you can, only i you believe 8-)
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Re: Short-Selling & Buying Puts 01 (May 08 - Mar 12)

Postby winston » Sun Feb 19, 2012 12:41 pm

There has been a major drop in those betting against the market as short interest has plunged.

Research firm TrimTabs said earlier this week that NYSE short interest decreased 6.7% to 12.5 billion shares at the start of February, the lowest level on record, and down from a record high of 16.1 billion shares on Sept. 30.


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Re: Short-Selling & Buying Puts 01 (May 08 - Mar 12)

Postby winston » Tue Feb 21, 2012 8:09 pm

TOL:-

I have been sharpening the knife and waiting and sharpening and waiting, yet there's no strong catalyst for a sharp drop.

Dont think the current high gasoline prices would bring things down.

Maybe Iran, if Israel is stupid enough to launch a pre-emptive strike.

Need to remind myself that I need to stay alert and strike when it's the time to act.

My mistakes from the past is that I either strike too early or I get bored and give up waiting ...

Sharpening and Waiting ...

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Re: Short-Selling & Buying Puts 01 (May 08 - Mar 12)

Postby iam802 » Tue Feb 21, 2012 8:54 pm

winston wrote:..
802 - Always wait for the setup. NO SETUP; NO TRADE



Except that I did not wait for the setup and have been shorting since Jan. :x
1. Always wait for the setup. NO SETUP; NO TRADE

2. The trend will END but I don't know WHEN.

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Re: Short-Selling & Buying Puts 01 (May 08 - Mar 12)

Postby kennynah » Tue Feb 21, 2012 10:20 pm

i think there were indicators that it as SHORT indicators in Jan, except that they didn't pan out as expected.
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Re: Short-Selling & Buying Puts 01 (May 08 - Feb 12)

Postby winston » Wed Feb 29, 2012 2:34 pm

TOL:-

When would you give up and stop thinking about shorting the market ?

When it shoot thru 1375 convincingly ?
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Re: Short-Selling & Buying Puts 01 (May 08 - Feb 12)

Postby Aspellian » Wed Feb 29, 2012 3:34 pm

But the higher it goes, it is higher risk to buy... hmmm.. dilemma.

but let me know when anyone decide to go long after growing tired of waitng - cos it may be time to short...

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Re: Short-Selling & Buying Puts 01 (May 08 - Feb 12)

Postby kennynah » Thu Mar 01, 2012 2:13 am

do give me a shout when you receive the call ok ? :P

Aspellian wrote:But the higher it goes, it is higher risk to buy... hmmm.. dilemma.

but let me know when anyone decide to go long after growing tired of waitng - cos it may be time to short...
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Re: Short-Selling & Buying Puts 01 (May 08 - Feb 12)

Postby winston » Thu Mar 01, 2012 9:49 pm

How to short ?

One down day with no follow through ...

Even the "experts" on CNBC are calling for the market to drop, which probably means that it wont, for a little while more ...
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