not vested
KALADHER GOVINDAN
Head of research, TA Securities
Stock pick: SKP Resources Bhd
EXCITEMENT in a company’s shares always hinges on its track record, ability to deliver strong earnings growth and generate cash flows to reward shareholders with dividends.
SKP Resources Bhd fits this bill. Despite reporting a profit growth of 43% in the last financial year, the company is expected to record a 3-year earnings CAGR of 68.2% until 2018 based on our projections.
This growth will be underpinned by the RM1bil annual orders from its main customer, Dyson, to produce cordless vacuum cleaners. Considering this new source of demand is only taking up about 25% of its newly enlarged 20-assembly line facility that came on board last September, growth potential is enormous. Dyson plans to launch 100 new products by 2018 to satisfy increasing demand for its products and services.
SKP has also mitigated operational risks by having specific agreements with clients to pass through nearly 100% of costs related to changes in raw material prices and currency fluctuations. This not only provided business stability but also some predictability.
SKP has a high ROE of 40% and a strong balance sheet. With current net gearing of only 4.5%, it is expected to turn net cash soon on the back of strong profit growth and cash flows. Thus, our expectations for future dividend yield to remain attractive around 4.6% to 6% are not far-fetched.
While having Dyson as a single largest customer can be considered as a major risk, the management is aware of that and has taken a proactive step by acquiring the subsidiaries of Technic to diversify the product range and customer base. It has also succeeded in growing the business through a win-win strategy that has strengthened the relationship, for the partnership to continue into distant future.
The fair value ascribed to SKP Resources shares is RM2 based on a calendar year (CY) 2016 price earnings (PE) multiple of 18 times, which will dwindle to 16 times and 10 times in CY17 and CY18 respectively on the back of robust earnings growth.
Source: The Star