Aspellian's Garden

Re: Aspellian's Garden

Postby Aspellian » Wed Oct 21, 2009 3:55 pm

winston wrote:Hi A,

Have you been planting and / or harvesting lately ?

Thanks and take care,
Winston


Future watch
Anwell - solar energy - R&D and low cost, contracts coming in, hopefully $ will be reflected. founder has reputation of innovator but previous CDR business not doing well. Concern that CDR company will continue to drag down company - operating losses, write-off inventories, impairment to machineries etc - best if they just sell this loss-making biz and concentrate on solar OEM first.
another concern - china company and CEO's business ability
<show me the results.>

China Kunda - linked to BYD; Sage of Omaha's new child - auto moulding - supposedly high tech moulding. currently doing some DD on an acqusition. Investors pumped in $ at $0.225 ny Mr Barron - a peter lynch type of high-risk investor. Top 20 shareholders include quite a number of itneresting investors since IPO days.

concern - newly listed, could be jsut riding on BYD's fame.
<show me the results.>

- Ausgroup : believe that it will benefit greatly from Australia O&G booms. there are easily >US$50billion of contracts in Aussieland which also requires local content. but wonder why recently there are sharp selling of Ausgroup shares...

Watchlist
- Ezion <vested now>

- Rotary Eng
- Ezra

- YZJiang : feel that it could be a priveledged shipyard in china, taken care of by china govt. Cosco Shipping cancelled its projects with its related party -cosco corp but its contracts with YZJ are intact. something special is brewing!

- Tat Hong: exposed to china and i think also australia. should do well in near future because of huge infrastructure projects in near future.
- Tiong Woon: crane industry - subcontract to a few players eg. rotary engg. could be interesting.

- Yanlord

- Ho Bee : interest absorption scheme a knee jerk reaaction resulting in mkt price down - should have invest then. but didnt listen to my rational mind. of cos after 2009 and IR launched and sentosa land bank finished, what other stories can Ho Bee paint?? what if bubble bust? maybe that is why Ho Bee tie up with Yanlord for future growth... <maybe interesting idea>


Fermented eggs (turnaround play)
Jaya - started to move recently - will watch it intently - but shipbuidling industry with over-flowing order books... could be bad business for many years to come....

Shorts?? if i have the guts and $ is there in the corner for me to take
- Cosco : price is very very steady.... could be artifically supported
- swiber : gyrate with oil price. only when market trend break and oil price slide - will short. but must be careful of swiber mgt - in case they can come up with an innovative and interesting story plot that will propel their share price again - Antartical Driller or Mars Driller!! :lol:

Good experiences and sayonara
- Epure : not sure how to value water industry and BOT business - stagnant play - decide to drop it totally.

- Oceanus : dun really like to eat abalone too much - not sure of the critical success factors to determine its success in share price - other than > revenue and profits or disease wiped out entire brood - basically i am saying that farming is not my core competency!! period.

PROMISE, PASSION, PEACE, POWER, PURPOSE, PLAN, PATIENCE, PERSEVERANCE, PROTECTION
DELIGHT, DISCIPLINE, DILIGENT, DETERMINATION, DESIRE

"Its not whether you're right or wrong thats important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong." - Warren Buffet
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Re: Aspellian's Garden

Postby Aspellian » Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:02 pm

Realised i am tracking too many stocks....

I am targeting to cut them down. Invest only the best.

Will be adding BYD in the list in future.

PROMISE, PASSION, PEACE, POWER, PURPOSE, PLAN, PATIENCE, PERSEVERANCE, PROTECTION
DELIGHT, DISCIPLINE, DILIGENT, DETERMINATION, DESIRE

"Its not whether you're right or wrong thats important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong." - Warren Buffet
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Re: Aspellian's Garden

Postby kennynah » Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:16 pm

why BYD ?
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Re: Aspellian's Garden

Postby lithium » Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:17 pm

PE > 100 wor...... :roll:
"Play Great Defence, not Great Offence "
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Re: Aspellian's Garden

Postby kennynah » Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:17 pm

is this Boyd Gaming Corp?
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Re: Aspellian's Garden

Postby Aspellian » Sat Oct 31, 2009 9:38 pm

Yep, it is that BYD - Warren Buffet's BYD.

Will wait for the price to come down in this correction:
viewtopic.php?f=38&t=1421&start=20

may buy in next upturn if prices look attractive and results within expectations.

In my opinion, It is a "perfect" storyline for a super-growth stock.

I shouldnt have been so strong-headed in the past and insist that i do not look at HK/China stocks on HSI.

patience.
:D

PROMISE, PASSION, PEACE, POWER, PURPOSE, PLAN, PATIENCE, PERSEVERANCE, PROTECTION
DELIGHT, DISCIPLINE, DILIGENT, DETERMINATION, DESIRE

"Its not whether you're right or wrong thats important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong." - Warren Buffet
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Re: Aspellian's Garden

Postby lithium » Sun Nov 01, 2009 6:28 am

Hi Aspellian,

Welcome to Hong Kong :lol: It's much much more volatile over here compare to Singapore. Hope you will not sweat till underwear also wet :lol:

I chose chinese stock because it's obvious that they will grow faster than US and Singapore. Since I'm into growth stocks, this is definitely the place for me. I know it's not easy to know the company even 90%, that's where TA comes in, to minimize the risk. Hopefully.

Let's find and study these great companies together! And hopefully make fortunes and achieve financial freedom together! ;)
"Play Great Defence, not Great Offence "
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Re: Aspellian's Garden

Postby Helium » Sun Nov 01, 2009 12:57 pm

Aspellian wrote: Yep, it is that BYD - Warren Buffet's BYD. may buy in next upturn, if prices look attractive and results within expectations.


It's business model is still unproven.
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Re: Aspellian's Garden

Postby Aspellian » Sun Nov 01, 2009 8:09 pm

lithium wrote:Let's find and study these great companies together! And hopefully make fortunes and achieve financial freedom together! ;)


Hi Lithium!

I still have much to learn from you and the brothers here. Currently zero knowledge on HK stocks....

Huat Chai to you too!

:lol:

PROMISE, PASSION, PEACE, POWER, PURPOSE, PLAN, PATIENCE, PERSEVERANCE, PROTECTION
DELIGHT, DISCIPLINE, DILIGENT, DETERMINATION, DESIRE

"Its not whether you're right or wrong thats important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong." - Warren Buffet
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Re: Aspellian's Garden

Postby Aspellian » Sun Nov 01, 2009 8:10 pm

Helium wrote:
Aspellian wrote: Yep, it is that BYD - Warren Buffet's BYD. may buy in next upturn, if prices look attractive and results within expectations.


It's business model is still unproven.


Hi Helium,

thanks for your advise! I will study it in detail.

But who am I to argue with Warren Buffet?? :?:

Disclaimer: I am not looking to invest BYD at current price or at current trend.

PROMISE, PASSION, PEACE, POWER, PURPOSE, PLAN, PATIENCE, PERSEVERANCE, PROTECTION
DELIGHT, DISCIPLINE, DILIGENT, DETERMINATION, DESIRE

"Its not whether you're right or wrong thats important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong." - Warren Buffet
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