Musicwhiz wrote:Problem is that Singapore cars are brand new and thus depreciate extremely quickly.
Hi mw,
before i start my long and nonsensical ranting... please note that buying car in singapore is something that a true-blue "investor" would never do, because to me, it is an "asset" that just depreciate, and never appreciate...
firstly, mw, you got it right, new cars depreciate too fast... some 2nd-hand cars appears new, without accident and are very cheap, with no logical reason at all, besides the fact that it is no longer new... but then hor, new car also become "old" right?
so, while shopping for a family car about 1 month back, I was very pressured to join the crowd to get a brand new car and almost committed on a brand new 7-seater toyota isis (wif CNG) for $71k, which I think would be a big regret... read on to find out...
using the 'value-investing' attitude, i sort of analyzed the figures and actually came to the following conclusions....
1. New car owners who sell their cars less than the planned 10 years will incur much higher depreciation than the initial calculations. For e.g. if I had bought the ISIS for 71k, over 10 years, the depreciation would be about 6.x k / year (coz still have remaining value when end of 10 yrs). However, if I wanna sell it at its 2nd year, it maybe worth only 55k in the market, which is 16k "depre" = 8k / year.
Why is this so? A 2nd hand car's basic value (Nett asset) comprises of the following:
a) PARF (rebate of ARF, which for newly registered cars, it is equal to OMV, a component of the new car price. This is the catch, for new cars, in the first 5 years, the value is only 75% of the ARF). This means that, on the 2nd day of the new car, the resale value drops 25% for this component... yes, drop in 25%... think about it...
b) remaining COE (depends on COE bought at that time),
c) metal body of car (made-in-japan cars can fetch up to 6k? while made-in-korea cars may be worth nothing) and
d) the premiums (perceived value of the 2nd hand car, i.e. additional value over the Nett asset) of the car (of coz Japan brands get better premuim).
However, for ISIS, it is already not too bad... but I still 'chickened' out, coz of the high loan commitment and the high possibility of selling within 3 years (for whatever reasons).
2. So, I asked myself, what would a value investor do in this situation?
Since there are people who "buy high and sell low", I decided to "buy low and sell lower" lor... at least lose, also dun lose too much...
So, I ended buying a "used" 2-year old 5-seater (instead of 7-seater, after much rationalization that most of the times, it would not be fully loaded) car (Hyundai verna) with 1 year of agent warranty left. oh ya, about the figures. I bought at 32k, which I estimate that its about 20k off its initial "new car" price tag.

In short, the first owner "loss" about 20k for the first 2 years (maybe less if trade in for another "new car", I'm not sure how the industry work around the trade-in prices).
So, the first owner helped me to offset the depre of 10k / year for the first 2 years. For the remaining of the years (if I 'live' with the car for the rest of the 8 yrs), the depreciation should be about 3.6k per year.

oh ya, I did do a few checks before the purchase:
a. I called the agent to confirm the car is serviced regularly and no major repairs / replacement done so far.
b. Also, I checked and confirmed that there was a malaysia summon which the agent suppose to clear for me... this was the website I use, but it does not seem to be working now...
http://www.rilek.com.my/pdrm/IPC/PDRM_SummonsInq.jspc. Finally, upon signing the purchase agreement, the car was sent to STA for inspection. It is written on the agreement that the purchase is only valid if proven that the car has never been involved in any accidents...
after driving for 1 month, I am quite happy with the point A to point B vehicle. the most important thing is that I do not feel burdened by the vehicle.
its not that tough for me to reach the decision. =) tough part is convincing people around me... in fact, some people still disagree with me...
Oh ya, apologies for the long post, but before I end off, i juz like to share this quote, I read somewhere:
"Drive to work, not work to drive".
Have fun with your car hunt, mw.
fc