Investment Strategies 03 (Jul 13 - Mar 19)

Re: Investment Strategies 03 (Jul 13 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Sat Aug 06, 2016 9:59 pm

3 Steps to Trade This Bull

by Kevin Cook

Make no mistake, the stock market is riding high on central bank support.

The only reason the S&P 500 moved toward 2200 is because we got certainty from the big 3 -- BOJ, ECB, and the FED -- that rates would remain very low for very much longer.

Well, it's not the sole reason. The other side of the coin is that institutional investors "have to buy" and there is nowhere else reasonable to put their money right now but into equities. As they say, it's a TINA market: There Is No Alternative to stocks.

When the 3-6% pullbacks come, you have to be ready to buy. That means you must have been doing your stock screening for earnings winners in advance and have "buy ranges" that you feel offer solid risk/reward potential.

There is no "perfect" here. There is the difference between (a) buying a good company 10-20% on sale from its highs to catch the next wave to new highs, and (b) missing the boat completely.

Plus, I like to add a twist here where you add some relatively safe leverage on the dips by buying index and sector ETFs that give you two to three times the performance of the conventional ETF.

You only want to do this leveraged ETF move near good support areas in a pullback so that you have a good margin of safety.


Source: Zacks

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-steps-t ... 07458.html
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Re: Investment Strategies 03 (Jul 13 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Wed Aug 17, 2016 8:36 pm

How to Get Richer Every Day

By Mark Ford


Of the hundreds of wealth-building strategies I've tried over the years, the best one was also the simplest: Make sure you get a little bit richer every day.

This thought occurred to me more than 30 years ago. I had recently decided to become rich, and that decision had me reading and thinking about wealth-building day and night.

I had fantasies of getting rich in all sorts of fancy ways. But deep down I knew that complicated strategies were not for me.

When it came to making money, I was extremely risk-averse. In the race to a multimillion-dollar retirement, I was the tortoise, not the hare...

At the time, I had a net worth of zero and an annual salary of $35,000. With three small children and my wife in college, our expenses were gobbling up every nickel of my after-tax income.

So my first wealth-building goal was small: I would get richer by just $10 a day.

I knew I would eventually raise the ante, but I wondered, "How much money would I acquire in, say, 40 years by just putting an extra $10 aside every day in a bank account earning 5% per year?"

I did the numbers and was happy with the answer: almost $500,000.

My total capital invested would be $149,650. The simple interest would total $156,950, and the compounded interest would amount to $182,061, for a total of $488,661.

Then I wondered, "What would happen if I put away $15 per day?" That came to $719,604.

And then I asked, "What would my retirement fund grow to at 8%?" That came to more than $1.6 million!

You can imagine my excitement. And so I made this my No. 1 wealth-building commandment: Get a little bit richer every day.

But I soon realized that I couldn't follow this rule consistently if I invested my money in stocks. The market fluctuated too much. I'd be worth $110,000 one day and $108,000 the next.

My friends and colleagues who knew more about investing than I did told me not to worry about these short-term fluctuations. They said if I kept my focus on the long term, I would get the 9% or 10% the market delivers over a long period of time.

But even though I understood the principle, I didn't want to settle for that.

I resolved the problem. I put the bulk of my retirement savings into municipal bonds, high-yielding bank CDs, and unleveraged rental real estate properties. This drastically reduced my portfolio's volatility.

But it also – in theory, at least – reduced my expected ultimate return on investment (ROI).

I compensated for that lower ROI by taking on more work and devoting a portion of that extra income to my retirement savings. This ensured I was always ahead of my schedule – even if the ROI I was getting on bonds, CDs, or real estate dropped.

My simple, tortoise-paced program worked. Since I made this resolution in the early 1980s, I have never experienced a single day of being poorer than I was the day before.

Think about that.

And there's more: Submitting yourself to this commandment will change the way you think and feel about building wealth.

It will help you appreciate the miracle of compound interest. It will make you less accepting of risk. It will make it easier to understand the benefits and drawbacks of every type of investing.

And it will turn you into an income addict, which – in my book – is an essential component of thinking rich.

If you want to use this strategy for retiring rich, begin as I did with a goal of $10 per day. Once that becomes easier, you'll find that you want to raise the ante. You could hike it to $15 per day, as I did my first year. But soon thereafter, your addiction to income will make it possible for you to raise your target much higher than that.

These days, my target is $10,000 per day – and I do it without worry.

I've explained this strategy to many people over the years. And I don't think a single one ever took it seriously.

Perhaps it didn't seem clever enough for them. Or perhaps they felt they were already doing well by following the investment schemes they were using at the time.

But none of them ever acquired the wealth I did.

They sometimes had great individual hits they'd tell me about – or even streaks of winners when the markets were favorable. But as time passed, Mr. Market always took a toll on them.

In the race for wealth, I've always been a tortoise. But by following this simple rule of getting richer every day, I was able to do better than I ever expected... without a single day of feeling poorer than I was the day before.

Source; The Palm Beach Research Group
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Re: Investment Strategies 03 (Jul 13 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Sat Aug 20, 2016 8:42 am

The most successful investments have these two things in common

by Chris Mayer

I do recommend buying a great asset and forgetting about it.


Own quality assets, defined by these three characteristics:

1. Predictable cash flow generation:
You want to own a business that generates a lot of cash. Companies like Apple and Berkshire Hathaway generate a lot of cash. Mining companies generally don’t.

2. Sustainably high returns on capital:
You want a business that earns a high return on the money invested in it. If you put $100 in a business and it generates a profit of $15, that’s a great 15% return on capital.

3. Attractive growth opportunities: This is what propels value over the long term. Imagine owning McDonald’s when it had only 300 stores. Or imagine owning a cellphone company when cellphones were only 5% of the market. You want to see that the business can be a lot bigger in the years ahead.

You can’t hold junk for the long term and expect great results. Buy the best assets.


The two things that drive long-term success as an investor — in stocks or art or probably anything — are time and quality. You need to give your ideas time to work. And you need to own high-quality assets.


Source: Bonner Private Portfolio

http://thecrux.com/the-most-successful- ... in-common/
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Re: Investment Strategies 03 (Jul 13 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Sat Aug 20, 2016 9:10 am

A ‘Sleep at Night’ Way to Profit From a Bull Market

By Brian Hunt

The idea of owning “picks and shovels” in order to profit from a big sector or commodity boom simply means owning companies that supply the vital tools, products, or services many participants in the boom must use… rather than taking the riskier route and buying the individual players in the boom.


Source: The Growth Stock Wire

http://www.thetradingreport.com/2016/08 ... ll-market/
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Re: Investment Strategies 03 (Jul 13 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Sat Aug 20, 2016 8:22 pm

How to Grow Your Wealth for Decades Without a Single Losing Year

By Mark Ford

Here are the five biggest mistakes most ordinary investors make…

1) Being swept away by exciting stories.
2) Investing in businesses you don’t understand.
3) Allowing yourself to be bullied by good salespeople.
4) Investing in trends too late – when the only chance of making money is to find “the bigger fool.”
5) Investing without a way to limit your losses.


Source: The Palm Beach Letter

http://dailytradealert.com/2016/08/20/h ... sing-year/
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Re: Investment Strategies 03 (Jul 13 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Thu Sep 08, 2016 7:52 pm

Knowing 'The One Thing'

By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud

"Steve, you have a unique ability to find the one thing that matters in the markets… You focus on that, and you forget about all the rest."

One of my mentors told me that, and I took it as a huge compliment.

To make money, you need to have conviction in an idea… And you need to have courage to stand by that idea when times get tough. Of course, you also need to know when to cut your losses when you're wrong. But that takes conviction, too.

If you have that, you will make A LOT of money.

The problem is, having conviction is TOUGH! Most investors are wishy-washy. They don't have conviction.

But me… I find conviction by figuring out "The One Thing."

I want to find the biggest thing that matters to the markets. I want to know "the big idea" that is actually affecting stock prices.

Since 2009, I've said, "'The One Thing' is interest rates." This has been our script for seven years…

The Fed will cut interest rates lower than anyone can imagine, and leave them there for longer than anyone can imagine. This will cause asset prices (like stocks and real estate) to soar higher than anyone can imagine.
We got it right.

Most interest rates around the world are at record lows today. Negative interest rates – unthinkable just a couple of years ago – are now normal. (Thankfully, negative rates are not here in the U.S. – yet.)

We got "The One Thing" right, and we basically ignored everything else.

There were plenty of reasons to be worried along the way… a continued European crisis… the flash crash of 2010… a downgrade of U.S. debt… and soaring then crashing oil prices… just to name a few.

But there are always a hundred reasons why you should not make a trade. You can always find a reason to chicken out. Having an idea – and conviction – that's the hard part.

We've been investing based on our "record-low rates will lead to record-high asset prices" script for seven years. So the question is this… Has anything changed? Or are interest rates still "The One Thing"?

To me, the answer is clear…

The 10-year U.S. bond rate has hit record lows. And again, negative interest rates have become common around the globe. Low rates are clearly still "The One Thing" driving the market higher.

There are reasons to be fearful today. We're nearing a very uncertain U.S. election. Economic growth continues to crawl forward. And stock prices aren't nearly as cheap as they were a few years ago.

But none of this matters to me. I have conviction because ultra-low interest rates continue to be "The One Thing."

That means stock and real estate prices in the U.S. can still rise much further from here…

Source: Daily Wealth
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Re: Investment Strategies 03 (Jul 13 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Sun Sep 11, 2016 12:22 pm

4 Ingredients for Beating THIS Market

by Steve Reitmeister

Source: Zacks

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/4-ingredi ... 09947.html
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Re: Investment Strategies 03 (Jul 13 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Tue Sep 13, 2016 6:25 pm

Here's where wealthy investors are putting their money

by Robert Frank

Family offices, which are set up by families typically worth $100 million or more, now have 22.1 percent of their portfolios in private equity. That's up from 19.8 percent in 2015.


Family offices have meanwhile trimmed their hedge-fund exposure to 8.1 percent of their portfolios, from 9 percent last year, the report said.

They've likewise pared back their equity holdings by 0.6 percentage points, to account for 25 percent of their portfolios. They hold 8 percent of their portfolios in cash.


Source: Yahoo Finance

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/heres-whe ... 09818.html
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Re: Investment Strategies 03 (Jul 13 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Sat Sep 17, 2016 12:09 pm

5 Lessons From Michael Burry

By Rupert Hargreaves

“My weapon of choice as a stock picker is research; it’s critical for me to understand a company’s value before laying down a dime…All my stock picking is 100% based on the concept of a margin of safety, as introduced to the world in the book “Security Analysis,” which Graham co-authored with David Dodd.

By now I have my own version of their techniques, but the net is that I want to protect my downside to prevent permanent loss of capital. Specific, known catalysts are not necessary. Sheer, outrageous value is enough.”


“As for when to buy, I mix some barebones technical analysis into my strategy…Nothing fancy. But I prefer to buy within 10% to 15% of a 52-week low that has shown itself to offer some price support. That’s the contrarian part of me.

And if a stock — other than the rare birds discussed above — breaks to a new low, in most cases I cut the loss…”


“I like to hold 12 to 18 stocks diversified among various depressed industries, and tend to be fully invested. This number seems to provide enough room for my best ideas while smoothing out volatility, not that I feel volatility in any way is related to risk.

But you see, I have this heartburn problem and don’t need the extra stress…I know my portfolio turnover will generally exceed 50% annually… I am not afraid to sell when a stock has a quick 40% to 50% a pop.



Source: GuruFocus

http://www.thetradingreport.com/2016/09 ... ael-burry/
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Re: Investment Strategies 03 (Jul 13 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Thu Sep 22, 2016 7:44 am

When you should never sell and other lessons

Source: Daily Crux


http://thecrux.com/chris-mayer-when-you ... investing/
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