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US - Econ. Slowdown - How deep & long ? 06 (Oct 16 - Jul 22)

PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 6:24 am
by winston
Here’s Some Compelling Data About The Next Recession

By Simon Black

In the modern history of the US economy over the past seven decades, the longest period of time the country has gone without a recession was 10 years.

Since the end of World War II there have been 11 recessions in the United States of America, so the average time in between recessions is 6 years and 5 months.

And whenever a recession hits, the all-knowing, all-powerful Federal Reserve attempts to stimulate the economy by cutting interest rates, typically multiple times.

The smallest interest rate cut was 2.03% during the 1990-1991 recession.

The largest interest rate cut during a recession was 9.84% during the 1981-1982 recession.

The average interest rate cut during a recession is 4.03% based on sixty years of Federal Reserve data.

In fact in every single recession in modern US history, interest rates were always MUCH lower at the end of the recession than they were at the beginning.


Now, here’s the problem–

Interest rates right now are at historic lows. The effective Federal Funds Rate as of the first of this month was just 0.29%.

So unless the Fed raises rates by a LOT, and does so VERY quickly, the United States is virtually guaranteed negative interest rates in the next recession.


The Fed is extremely leveraged, with capital of less than 1% of its total balance sheet.

So if asset prices fall by just 1% after the Fed raises interest rates, they will become insolvent.


Source: Sovereign Man

http://www.thetradingreport.com/2016/10 ... recession/

Re: US - Econ. Slowdown - How deep & long ? 05 (Jan 12 - Dec

PostPosted: Thu Oct 13, 2016 9:36 am
by winston
You Will Most Likely Be Out Of Cash Almost Immediately If This Happens…

By Michael Snyder

Nearly seven in 10 Americans (69%) had less than $1,000 in their savings account.


Considering the fact that almost 70 percent of the population has virtually no savings, could our nation handle an extended economic downturn that may be even worse than what we experienced in 2008 and 2009?


Source: The Economic Collapse Blog

http://www.thetradingreport.com/2016/10 ... s-happens/

Re: US - Econ. Slowdown - How deep & long ? 05 (Jan 12 - Dec

PostPosted: Thu Oct 13, 2016 9:38 am
by winston
11 Bank of America Warns of Imminent Recession: “Market So Fragile… It’s Downright Scary”

By Mac Slavo

Source: SHTFplan.com

http://www.thetradingreport.com/2016/10 ... ght-scary/

Re: US - Econ. Slowdown - How deep & long ? 05 (Jan 12 - Dec

PostPosted: Sat Oct 15, 2016 8:36 pm
by winston
America’s Hidden Unemployment Crisis Millions have stopped looking for work yet go uncounted in the Unemployment Figures

By Stephen Gregory

Tens of millions of Americans either can’t find or have given up on looking for work.



Source: Epoch Times

http://www.theepochtimes.com/n3/2163987 ... nt-crisis/

Re: US - Econ. Slowdown - How deep & long ? 05 (Jan 12 - Dec

PostPosted: Wed Oct 26, 2016 7:19 am
by winston
How many jobs would be lost from driverless tech ?

At the end of 2014, Uber reportedly employed 160,000 drivers. That number has probably grown over the last two years, but one-quarter of 160,000 means there were about 40,000 retirement-aged drivers.

Driverless technology will threaten 4.1 million car and truck driver jobs in the U.S. And there's a sizeable number of retired folks working in the industry.

Source: The Oxford Club

Re: US - Econ. Slowdown - How deep & long ? 05 (Jan 12 - Dec

PostPosted: Thu Oct 27, 2016 7:11 am
by winston
The US job recovery is a global laggard

Source: Daily Crux

http://thecrux.com/the-u-s-job-recovery ... l-laggard/

Re: US - Econ. Slowdown - How deep & long ? 05 (Jan 12 - Dec

PostPosted: Fri Oct 28, 2016 8:46 am
by winston
There's 100% chance of a recession next year

Source: Daily Crux

http://thecrux.com/porter-stansberry-th ... next-year/

Re: US - Econ. Slowdown - How deep & long ? 05 (Jan 12 - Dec

PostPosted: Sat Oct 29, 2016 10:23 am
by winston
US Consumer Confidence Crashes To 2 Year Lows

By Tyler Durden

Source: Zero Hedge

http://www.thetradingreport.com/2016/10 ... year-lows/

Re: US - Econ. Slowdown - How deep & long ? 05 (Jan 12 - Dec

PostPosted: Thu Nov 17, 2016 9:22 am
by winston
11 Depressing Economic Realities That Donald Trump Will Inherit From Barack Obama

By Michael Snyder

Source: The Economic Collapse Blog

http://www.thetradingreport.com/2016/11 ... ack-obama/

Re: US - Econ. Slowdown - How deep & long ? 05 (Jan 12 - Dec

PostPosted: Wed Nov 23, 2016 10:53 am
by winston
Are We Setting Up For a Major Recession and a Major Crash?

By Michael Snyder

Source: The Economic Collapse Blog

http://www.thetradingreport.com/2016/11 ... jor-crash/