by winston » Wed Aug 10, 2011 7:24 pm
Not vested
China Animal Healthcare (BUY, TP S$0.42). CAL is a key PRC animal drug manufacturer with ~2% market share in China. It produces 500 types of animal drugs, and three out of the four compulsory vaccines mandated by the PRC government.
We believe that CAL is key beneficiary to PRC meat consumption growth that is expected to reach 61kg per person by 2015, from 54kg in 2009.
We project 25% earnings growth in FY11, driven by contribution from two new vaccines i.e. food-and-mouth disease and blue ear.
Although share price is down some 30% YTD, we continue to like CAL for its strong projected free cashflow of RMB259m and RMB329m over the next two years.
We recommend BUY with TP of S$0.42, pegged to 7x FY11F EV/EBITDA.
Source: DMG
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"